Trader sentiment clusters around 17–19°C outcomes, with 18°C leading at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) guidance forecasting a daytime high near 18°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate south-easterly winds for May 1. This positioning stems from a cooling trend after late-April cold fronts brought showers and lowered temperatures from April averages above 20°C, aligning with southern hemisphere autumn climatology where Cape Town highs typically average 19–20°C. Ensemble forecast models like those from ECMWF and GFS show a 1–2°C spread due to variable cloud cover and sea breeze influences, with SAWS updates expected early May 1 potentially refining the peak before resolution based on official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 1?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 1?
18°C 47%
19°C 32%
17°C 22%
20°C 2.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
22%
18°C
47%
19°C
32%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 47%
19°C 32%
17°C 22%
20°C 2.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
13°C or below
$1,510 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,489 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$159 Vol.
1%
16°C
$473 Vol.
2%
17°C
$273 Vol.
22%
18°C
$457 Vol.
47%
19°C
$1,239 Vol.
32%
20°C
$388 Vol.
3%
21°C
$688 Vol.
1%
22°C
$698 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$553 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment clusters around 17–19°C outcomes, with 18°C leading at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) guidance forecasting a daytime high near 18°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate south-easterly winds for May 1. This positioning stems from a cooling trend after late-April cold fronts brought showers and lowered temperatures from April averages above 20°C, aligning with southern hemisphere autumn climatology where Cape Town highs typically average 19–20°C. Ensemble forecast models like those from ECMWF and GFS show a 1–2°C spread due to variable cloud cover and sea breeze influences, with SAWS updates expected early May 1 potentially refining the peak before resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$7,927Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment clusters around 17–19°C outcomes, with 18°C leading at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) guidance forecasting a daytime high near 18°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate south-easterly winds for May 1. This positioning stems from a cooling trend after late-April cold fronts brought showers and lowered temperatures from April averages above 20°C, aligning with southern hemisphere autumn climatology where Cape Town highs typically average 19–20°C. Ensemble forecast models like those from ECMWF and GFS show a 1–2°C spread due to variable cloud cover and sea breeze influences, with SAWS updates expected early May 1 potentially refining the peak before resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,927Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters around 17–19°C outcomes, with 18°C leading at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) guidance forecasting a daytime high near 18°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate south-easterly winds for May 1. This positioning stems from a cooling trend after late-April cold fronts brought showers and lowered temperatures from April averages above 20°C, aligning with southern hemisphere autumn climatology where Cape Town highs typically average 19–20°C. Ensemble forecast models like those from ECMWF and GFS show a 1–2°C spread due to variable cloud cover and sea breeze influences, with SAWS updates expected early May 1 potentially refining the peak before resolution based on official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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