Trader consensus reflects a 100% implied probability for a 28°C high temperature in Beijing today, aligned with the latest official forecasts from the Beijing Meteorological Observatory and China Weather Network, which project clear to partly cloudy skies, southerly winds gusting to force 5, and a daytime maximum of 28°C amid a sharp warming trend from mid-20s earlier this week. This positioning is supported by consistent model outputs showing solar heating under low cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk, consistent with late-April climatology where highs frequently peak near 28°C following cold fronts. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloudiness cooling the surface or urban heat island effects pushing readings to 29°C, with final resolution hinging on end-of-day observations from official stations expected overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on April 30?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 30?
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$218,898 Vol.
$218,898 Vol.
30 abr 2026
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$218,898 Vol.
$218,898 Vol.
30 abr 2026
28°C
$22,755 Vol.
100%
29°C
$16,766 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$14,020 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$18,042 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$10,207 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$10,005 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$10,302 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$17,584 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus reflects a 100% implied probability for a 28°C high temperature in Beijing today, aligned with the latest official forecasts from the Beijing Meteorological Observatory and China Weather Network, which project clear to partly cloudy skies, southerly winds gusting to force 5, and a daytime maximum of 28°C amid a sharp warming trend from mid-20s earlier this week. This positioning is supported by consistent model outputs showing solar heating under low cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk, consistent with late-April climatology where highs frequently peak near 28°C following cold fronts. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloudiness cooling the surface or urban heat island effects pushing readings to 29°C, with final resolution hinging on end-of-day observations from official stations expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volumen
$218,898Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus reflects a 100% implied probability for a 28°C high temperature in Beijing today, aligned with the latest official forecasts from the Beijing Meteorological Observatory and China Weather Network, which project clear to partly cloudy skies, southerly winds gusting to force 5, and a daytime maximum of 28°C amid a sharp warming trend from mid-20s earlier this week. This positioning is supported by consistent model outputs showing solar heating under low cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk, consistent with late-April climatology where highs frequently peak near 28°C following cold fronts. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloudiness cooling the surface or urban heat island effects pushing readings to 29°C, with final resolution hinging on end-of-day observations from official stations expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$218,898Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects a 100% implied probability for a 28°C high temperature in Beijing today, aligned with the latest official forecasts from the Beijing Meteorological Observatory and China Weather Network, which project clear to partly cloudy skies, southerly winds gusting to force 5, and a daytime maximum of 28°C amid a sharp warming trend from mid-20s earlier this week. This positioning is supported by consistent model outputs showing solar heating under low cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk, consistent with late-April climatology where highs frequently peak near 28°C following cold fronts. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloudiness cooling the surface or urban heat island effects pushing readings to 29°C, with final resolution hinging on end-of-day observations from official stations expected overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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