Traders' strong consensus on the 85–90 range (88.5% implied probability) for Week 17's cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate stems from the CDC's latest FluView report for Week 15 (ending April 18, 2026), which recorded 85.2 per 100,000 population via FluSurv-NET surveillance—third highest since 2010–11 but plateauing as seasonal activity declines. The weekly rate fell to 0.5 per 100,000 (from 0.7 in Week 14), signaling waning transmission amid a shift to influenza B viruses after A(H3N2) dominance. With low weekly additions expected (FluSight ensemble forecasts national hospital admissions decreasing), minimal cumulative growth positions higher brackets unlikely; Week 16 data, due imminently, could confirm trends before Week 17 resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 17, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 17, 2026?
85–90 90%
90–95 5%
<80 4.5%
80–85 3.0%
<80
5%
80–85
3%
85–90
90%
90–95
5%
95–100
3%
100+
1%
85–90 90%
90–95 5%
<80 4.5%
80–85 3.0%
<80
5%
80–85
3%
85–90
90%
90–95
5%
95–100
3%
100+
1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' strong consensus on the 85–90 range (88.5% implied probability) for Week 17's cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate stems from the CDC's latest FluView report for Week 15 (ending April 18, 2026), which recorded 85.2 per 100,000 population via FluSurv-NET surveillance—third highest since 2010–11 but plateauing as seasonal activity declines. The weekly rate fell to 0.5 per 100,000 (from 0.7 in Week 14), signaling waning transmission amid a shift to influenza B viruses after A(H3N2) dominance. With low weekly additions expected (FluSight ensemble forecasts national hospital admissions decreasing), minimal cumulative growth positions higher brackets unlikely; Week 16 data, due imminently, could confirm trends before Week 17 resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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