CDC's FluSurv-NET data for Week 15 (ending April 18, 2026) reports a cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 85.2 per 100,000 population—the third highest since 2010–2011—driving trader consensus at 97% implied probability for the 85–90 range in Week 16 (ending April 25). Declining seasonal activity, with weekly rates at 0.5 per 100,000 (estimated 0.7–0.9 after delays) and low influenza A/B detections nationwide, supports minimal additions per FluSight forecasts of 0.33 new admissions per 100,000. This reflects a moderate flu season winding down, with outpatient visits below baseline. Scenarios challenging this include higher-than-expected reporting revisions or isolated late surges pushing toward 90+, though official Week 16 FluView data—due imminently—will confirm.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 16, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 16, 2026?
85–90 98.6%
90–95 1.8%
<80 <1%
80–85 <1%
$7,690 Vol.
$7,690 Vol.
1 may 2026
<80
1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
99%
90–95
2%
95–100
<1%
100+
<1%
85–90 98.6%
90–95 1.8%
<80 <1%
80–85 <1%
$7,690 Vol.
$7,690 Vol.
1 may 2026
<80
$728 Vol.
1%
80–85
$1,908 Vol.
<1%
85–90
$2,681 Vol.
99%
90–95
$1,047 Vol.
2%
95–100
$742 Vol.
<1%
100+
$583 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.CDC's FluSurv-NET data for Week 15 (ending April 18, 2026) reports a cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 85.2 per 100,000 population—the third highest since 2010–2011—driving trader consensus at 97% implied probability for the 85–90 range in Week 16 (ending April 25). Declining seasonal activity, with weekly rates at 0.5 per 100,000 (estimated 0.7–0.9 after delays) and low influenza A/B detections nationwide, supports minimal additions per FluSight forecasts of 0.33 new admissions per 100,000. This reflects a moderate flu season winding down, with outpatient visits below baseline. Scenarios challenging this include higher-than-expected reporting revisions or isolated late surges pushing toward 90+, though official Week 16 FluView data—due imminently—will confirm.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Mercado abierto: Apr 24, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Volumen
$7,690Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.CDC's FluSurv-NET data for Week 15 (ending April 18, 2026) reports a cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 85.2 per 100,000 population—the third highest since 2010–2011—driving trader consensus at 97% implied probability for the 85–90 range in Week 16 (ending April 25). Declining seasonal activity, with weekly rates at 0.5 per 100,000 (estimated 0.7–0.9 after delays) and low influenza A/B detections nationwide, supports minimal additions per FluSight forecasts of 0.33 new admissions per 100,000. This reflects a moderate flu season winding down, with outpatient visits below baseline. Scenarios challenging this include higher-than-expected reporting revisions or isolated late surges pushing toward 90+, though official Week 16 FluView data—due imminently—will confirm.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Volumen
$7,690Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...CDC's FluSurv-NET data for Week 15 (ending April 18, 2026) reports a cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 85.2 per 100,000 population—the third highest since 2010–2011—driving trader consensus at 97% implied probability for the 85–90 range in Week 16 (ending April 25). Declining seasonal activity, with weekly rates at 0.5 per 100,000 (estimated 0.7–0.9 after delays) and low influenza A/B detections nationwide, supports minimal additions per FluSight forecasts of 0.33 new admissions per 100,000. This reflects a moderate flu season winding down, with outpatient visits below baseline. Scenarios challenging this include higher-than-expected reporting revisions or isolated late surges pushing toward 90+, though official Week 16 FluView data—due imminently—will confirm.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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