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Ukraine Peace Deal predictions & odds

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

8%

$2M Vol.

$415K today

$88.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

<1%

$10M Vol.

$370K today

$78.1K Liq.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

13%

$8M Vol.

$173K today

$221K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

26%

$15M Vol.

$478K Liq.

5,422

Ends in 8 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

55%

$192K Vol.

$110K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

6%

$105K Vol.

$21.6K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

13%

$429K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

18

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

28%

December 31

$424K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

9%

$112K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

11

Ends in 2 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?

45%

$54.9K Vol.

$85.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

8%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$18.5K Liq.

79

Ends in 2 months

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

2%

$31.5K Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

3%

$154K Vol.

$21.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

18%

$11.8K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

14%

$563K Vol.

$29.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

6%

$145K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

99%

June 30

$387K Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

27%

$238K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

21%

$87.4K Vol.

$19.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

11%

$67.5K Vol.

$20.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Ukraine Peace Deal.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Ukraine Peace Deal that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $38.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 75% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Ukraine Peace Deal predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.