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Peace predictions & odds

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US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

94%

December 31

$318M Vol.

$10M today

$1M Liq.

6,795

Ends in 7 months

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

70%

July 31

$4M Vol.

$391K today

$56.5K Liq.

136

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

26%

July 31

$8M Vol.

$172K today

$224K Liq.

54

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

10%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$20M Vol.

$79.7K today

$2M Liq.

190

Ends in 4 months

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

16%

$525K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

19

Ends in 7 months

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

28%

$2M Vol.

$52.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

17%

December 31

$472K Vol.

$19.6K Liq.

7

Ends in 7 months

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

3%

$698K Vol.

$53.0K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

15%

$26.6K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

7%

$40.1K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 15 days

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

77%

No election before 2027

$18.6K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

7

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

2%

June 30

$433K Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

135

Ends in 7 months

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

12%

June 30

$150K Vol.

$32 Liq.

31

Ends in 15 days

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

33%

December 31

$390K Vol.

$149K Liq.

24

Ends in 7 months

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs

HOTU

$9.4K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

74%

$614K Vol.

$42.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

-

$29.4K Vol.

17

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

4%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

90

Ends in 15 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

47%

December 31

$4M Vol.

$235K Liq.

112

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Peace.

Polymarket currently hosts 121 active markets for Peace that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $363.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 94% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Peace predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.