Trader consensus reflects an 82.5% implied probability against a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027, driven by stalled Russo-Ukrainian negotiations and the absence of concrete diplomatic breakthroughs amid ongoing military stalemate. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz stated two days ago that Ukraine may require territorial concessions in any ceasefire or peace treaty, potentially ratified via referendum, while deeming EU accession by 2027 unrealistic. U.S. President Trump's recent call with Vladimir Putin urged war's end, but Moscow remains unhurried per Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's mid-April remarks. Zelenskyy's February proposal for elections alongside a peace vote drew NGO criticism as unlawful under martial law, with no advancement since, underscoring domestic and procedural barriers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$11,835 Vol.
$11,835 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$11,835 Vol.
$11,835 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects an 82.5% implied probability against a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027, driven by stalled Russo-Ukrainian negotiations and the absence of concrete diplomatic breakthroughs amid ongoing military stalemate. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz stated two days ago that Ukraine may require territorial concessions in any ceasefire or peace treaty, potentially ratified via referendum, while deeming EU accession by 2027 unrealistic. U.S. President Trump's recent call with Vladimir Putin urged war's end, but Moscow remains unhurried per Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's mid-April remarks. Zelenskyy's February proposal for elections alongside a peace vote drew NGO criticism as unlawful under martial law, with no advancement since, underscoring domestic and procedural barriers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Volume
$11,835End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects an 82.5% implied probability against a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027, driven by stalled Russo-Ukrainian negotiations and the absence of concrete diplomatic breakthroughs amid ongoing military stalemate. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz stated two days ago that Ukraine may require territorial concessions in any ceasefire or peace treaty, potentially ratified via referendum, while deeming EU accession by 2027 unrealistic. U.S. President Trump's recent call with Vladimir Putin urged war's end, but Moscow remains unhurried per Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's mid-April remarks. Zelenskyy's February proposal for elections alongside a peace vote drew NGO criticism as unlawful under martial law, with no advancement since, underscoring domestic and procedural barriers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,835End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects an 82.5% implied probability against a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027, driven by stalled Russo-Ukrainian negotiations and the absence of concrete diplomatic breakthroughs amid ongoing military stalemate. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz stated two days ago that Ukraine may require territorial concessions in any ceasefire or peace treaty, potentially ratified via referendum, while deeming EU accession by 2027 unrealistic. U.S. President Trump's recent call with Vladimir Putin urged war's end, but Moscow remains unhurried per Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's mid-April remarks. Zelenskyy's February proposal for elections alongside a peace vote drew NGO criticism as unlawful under martial law, with no advancement since, underscoring domestic and procedural barriers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions