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Fidel predictions & odds

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US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

17%

$67.4K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?

60%

$891 Vol.

$156 Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Will Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?

78%

$5 Vol.

$155 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

56%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$67.3K Liq.

59

Ends in about 2 months

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?

23%

$14.2K Vol.

$541 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

22%

$240K Vol.

$27.4K Liq.

18

Ends in about 2 months

US military action against Cuba by...?

US military action against Cuba by...?

39%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$46.4K Liq.

55

Ends in 8 months

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

25%

$184K Vol.

$28.4K Liq.

8

Ends in 8 months

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

18%

$9.7K Vol.

$567 Liq.

5

Ends in 30 days

Counter-Strike: tincan vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: tincan vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

Banger Gang

$180 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

27%

$35.0K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

46%

$95.0K Vol.

$28.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

19%

Petro - Colombia President

$4.3K Vol.

$61.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs

Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs

83%

Mandatory

$0 Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Abidjan 2: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Hamish Stewart

Abidjan 2: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Hamish Stewart

60%

Eliakim Coulibaly

$858 Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Valorant: LEO vs CTRL Esports (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group B

Valorant: LEO vs CTRL Esports (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group B

CTRL Esports

$3.6K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Banger Gang vs hindsight (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: Banger Gang vs hindsight (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

Banger Gang

$960 Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Cagliari: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Marcos Giron

Cagliari: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Marcos Giron

66%

Roman Andres Burruchaga

$66 Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

79%

Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar

$82.1K Vol.

$546 Liq.

2

Counter-Strike: FC Famalicão Esports vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: FC Famalicão Esports vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

62%

Banger Gang

$195 Vol.

$29 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Fidel.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Fidel that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Cuban regime falls in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US military action against Cuba by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US military action against Cuba by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 39% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Fidel predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.