Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts position Seoul's May 22 daytime high near 25–26 °C, with ensemble models showing modest spread driven by variable cloud cover, light easterly winds, and potential southerly warm advection. This central tendency explains why trader capital clusters around the 24–27 °C outcomes, each commanding roughly 19–25 % implied probability. Historical May climatology places typical highs at 22–24 °C, so any increase in insolation or reduced precipitation would push readings toward the upper bins while persistent marine influence could cap them lower. Updated KMA guidance and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine these boundaries ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on May 22?
25°C 25%
26°C 22%
27°C or higher 20%
24°C 19%
$19,855 Vol.
$19,855 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
14%
24°C
19%
25°C
25%
26°C
22%
27°C or higher
20%
25°C 25%
26°C 22%
27°C or higher 20%
24°C 19%
$19,855 Vol.
$19,855 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
14%
24°C
19%
25°C
25%
26°C
22%
27°C or higher
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts position Seoul's May 22 daytime high near 25–26 °C, with ensemble models showing modest spread driven by variable cloud cover, light easterly winds, and potential southerly warm advection. This central tendency explains why trader capital clusters around the 24–27 °C outcomes, each commanding roughly 19–25 % implied probability. Historical May climatology places typical highs at 22–24 °C, so any increase in insolation or reduced precipitation would push readings toward the upper bins while persistent marine influence could cap them lower. Updated KMA guidance and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine these boundaries ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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