Current forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate Paris overnight lows on May 25 will likely settle in the 16–18°C range under a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and limited radiative cooling. This setup favors mild Atlantic airflow typical for late May, pushing implied probabilities evenly across temperature bins as traders weigh model spread and potential for subtle wind shifts or cloud cover changes. Historical climatology shows average May lows near 10–11°C, yet recent warming trends and the four-day outlook horizon introduce genuine uncertainty around exact minimum readings resolved by official Paris-Le Bourget observations. Updated model runs and any late pressure adjustments could quickly refine trader consensus ahead of the holiday period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on May 25?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 25?
17°C 29%
18°C 28%
19°C 28%
16°C 28%
NEW
NEW
May 25, 2026
12°C or below
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
28%
17°C
29%
18°C
28%
19°C
28%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C or higher
26%
17°C 29%
18°C 28%
19°C 28%
16°C 28%
NEW
NEW
May 25, 2026
12°C or below
$5 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
29%
18°C
$0 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
28%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate Paris overnight lows on May 25 will likely settle in the 16–18°C range under a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and limited radiative cooling. This setup favors mild Atlantic airflow typical for late May, pushing implied probabilities evenly across temperature bins as traders weigh model spread and potential for subtle wind shifts or cloud cover changes. Historical climatology shows average May lows near 10–11°C, yet recent warming trends and the four-day outlook horizon introduce genuine uncertainty around exact minimum readings resolved by official Paris-Le Bourget observations. Updated model runs and any late pressure adjustments could quickly refine trader consensus ahead of the holiday period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$5End Date
May 25, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate Paris overnight lows on May 25 will likely settle in the 16–18°C range under a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and limited radiative cooling. This setup favors mild Atlantic airflow typical for late May, pushing implied probabilities evenly across temperature bins as traders weigh model spread and potential for subtle wind shifts or cloud cover changes. Historical climatology shows average May lows near 10–11°C, yet recent warming trends and the four-day outlook horizon introduce genuine uncertainty around exact minimum readings resolved by official Paris-Le Bourget observations. Updated model runs and any late pressure adjustments could quickly refine trader consensus ahead of the holiday period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5End Date
May 25, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate Paris overnight lows on May 25 will likely settle in the 16–18°C range under a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and limited radiative cooling. This setup favors mild Atlantic airflow typical for late May, pushing implied probabilities evenly across temperature bins as traders weigh model spread and potential for subtle wind shifts or cloud cover changes. Historical climatology shows average May lows near 10–11°C, yet recent warming trends and the four-day outlook horizon introduce genuine uncertainty around exact minimum readings resolved by official Paris-Le Bourget observations. Updated model runs and any late pressure adjustments could quickly refine trader consensus ahead of the holiday period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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