Latest long-range guidance from AccuWeather and the National Weather Service points to overnight lows in Miami on May 25 settling in the upper 70s under typical late-spring easterly flow and scattered convective activity. Sea-surface temperatures near 82 °F continue to moderate minimum temperatures, while any stronger thunderstorm outflow or brief frontal passage could briefly dip readings into the mid-70s. Historical climatology places the late-May average low near 77 °F, with a standard deviation of roughly 3–4 °F, leaving room for both cooler and warmer excursions depending on cloud cover and wind shifts. Traders therefore assign comparable weight to the 73 °F-or-below and 92 °F-or-higher brackets because model consensus remains loose four days out, and updated runs through the weekend will refine the precise minimum before the market resolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on May 25?
73°F or below 26%
92°F or higher 26%
80-81°F 24%
78-79°F 22%
73°F or below
26%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
12%
92°F or higher
26%
73°F or below 26%
92°F or higher 26%
80-81°F 24%
78-79°F 22%
73°F or below
26%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
12%
92°F or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest long-range guidance from AccuWeather and the National Weather Service points to overnight lows in Miami on May 25 settling in the upper 70s under typical late-spring easterly flow and scattered convective activity. Sea-surface temperatures near 82 °F continue to moderate minimum temperatures, while any stronger thunderstorm outflow or brief frontal passage could briefly dip readings into the mid-70s. Historical climatology places the late-May average low near 77 °F, with a standard deviation of roughly 3–4 °F, leaving room for both cooler and warmer excursions depending on cloud cover and wind shifts. Traders therefore assign comparable weight to the 73 °F-or-below and 92 °F-or-higher brackets because model consensus remains loose four days out, and updated runs through the weekend will refine the precise minimum before the market resolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions