Current ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models show considerable spread for Tokyo's overnight low on May 25, with projected values clustering near 17–18 °C amid a warm late-spring pattern. Above-average May temperatures driven by a strengthened subtropical high have kept recent nights mild, yet a possible weak frontal boundary or increased cloud cover could shave several degrees or allow clearer skies to hold values higher. Historical climatology places typical May minima around 15–17 °C, providing a baseline against which traders weigh short-range model runs and observed trends from the preceding 48 hours. Resolution hinges on the exact 24-hour minimum recorded at the official Tokyo station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 25?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 25?
14°C or below 27%
24°C or higher 26%
17°C 23%
18°C 23%
NEW
NEW
May 25, 2026
14°C or below
27%
15°C
19%
16°C
22%
17°C
23%
18°C
23%
19°C
19%
20°C
17%
21°C
15%
22°C
13%
23°C
12%
24°C or higher
26%
14°C or below 27%
24°C or higher 26%
17°C 23%
18°C 23%
NEW
NEW
May 25, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
19%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
23%
18°C
$0 Vol.
23%
19°C
$0 Vol.
19%
20°C
$0 Vol.
17%
21°C
$0 Vol.
15%
22°C
$0 Vol.
13%
23°C
$0 Vol.
12%
24°C or higher
$6 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models show considerable spread for Tokyo's overnight low on May 25, with projected values clustering near 17–18 °C amid a warm late-spring pattern. Above-average May temperatures driven by a strengthened subtropical high have kept recent nights mild, yet a possible weak frontal boundary or increased cloud cover could shave several degrees or allow clearer skies to hold values higher. Historical climatology places typical May minima around 15–17 °C, providing a baseline against which traders weigh short-range model runs and observed trends from the preceding 48 hours. Resolution hinges on the exact 24-hour minimum recorded at the official Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$6End Date
May 25, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models show considerable spread for Tokyo's overnight low on May 25, with projected values clustering near 17–18 °C amid a warm late-spring pattern. Above-average May temperatures driven by a strengthened subtropical high have kept recent nights mild, yet a possible weak frontal boundary or increased cloud cover could shave several degrees or allow clearer skies to hold values higher. Historical climatology places typical May minima around 15–17 °C, providing a baseline against which traders weigh short-range model runs and observed trends from the preceding 48 hours. Resolution hinges on the exact 24-hour minimum recorded at the official Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6End Date
May 25, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models show considerable spread for Tokyo's overnight low on May 25, with projected values clustering near 17–18 °C amid a warm late-spring pattern. Above-average May temperatures driven by a strengthened subtropical high have kept recent nights mild, yet a possible weak frontal boundary or increased cloud cover could shave several degrees or allow clearer skies to hold values higher. Historical climatology places typical May minima around 15–17 °C, providing a baseline against which traders weigh short-range model runs and observed trends from the preceding 48 hours. Resolution hinges on the exact 24-hour minimum recorded at the official Tokyo station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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