Recent high-pressure ridging over western Europe has produced clear skies and reduced radiative cooling across the Paris basin, with ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France now converging on overnight minima near 15–17 °C for May 24. This setup favors the market’s tightly clustered 17 °C and 18 °C outcomes, as southerly advection of warmer air from the Mediterranean offsets typical late-May radiative losses. Climatologically, Paris records average May lows of 9–11 °C, so the current anomaly reflects both the absence of northerly flow and limited cloud cover that would otherwise enhance cooling. Traders are weighting the next 48-hour model runs, which will refine boundary-layer moisture and wind forecasts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on May 24?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 24?
17°C 39%
10°C 34%
16°C 27%
19°C or higher 27%
NEW
NEW
May 24, 2026
9°C or below
18%
10°C
34%
11°C
18%
12°C
19%
13°C
21%
14°C
22%
15°C
24%
16°C
27%
17°C
39%
18°C
26%
19°C or higher
27%
17°C 39%
10°C 34%
16°C 27%
19°C or higher 27%
NEW
NEW
May 24, 2026
9°C or below
$90 Vol.
18%
10°C
$85 Vol.
34%
11°C
$85 Vol.
18%
12°C
$0 Vol.
19%
13°C
$0 Vol.
21%
14°C
$0 Vol.
22%
15°C
$0 Vol.
24%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C
$0 Vol.
26%
19°C or higher
$0 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent high-pressure ridging over western Europe has produced clear skies and reduced radiative cooling across the Paris basin, with ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France now converging on overnight minima near 15–17 °C for May 24. This setup favors the market’s tightly clustered 17 °C and 18 °C outcomes, as southerly advection of warmer air from the Mediterranean offsets typical late-May radiative losses. Climatologically, Paris records average May lows of 9–11 °C, so the current anomaly reflects both the absence of northerly flow and limited cloud cover that would otherwise enhance cooling. Traders are weighting the next 48-hour model runs, which will refine boundary-layer moisture and wind forecasts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Volume
$260End Date
May 24, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent high-pressure ridging over western Europe has produced clear skies and reduced radiative cooling across the Paris basin, with ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France now converging on overnight minima near 15–17 °C for May 24. This setup favors the market’s tightly clustered 17 °C and 18 °C outcomes, as southerly advection of warmer air from the Mediterranean offsets typical late-May radiative losses. Climatologically, Paris records average May lows of 9–11 °C, so the current anomaly reflects both the absence of northerly flow and limited cloud cover that would otherwise enhance cooling. Traders are weighting the next 48-hour model runs, which will refine boundary-layer moisture and wind forecasts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$260End Date
May 24, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure ridging over western Europe has produced clear skies and reduced radiative cooling across the Paris basin, with ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France now converging on overnight minima near 15–17 °C for May 24. This setup favors the market’s tightly clustered 17 °C and 18 °C outcomes, as southerly advection of warmer air from the Mediterranean offsets typical late-May radiative losses. Climatologically, Paris records average May lows of 9–11 °C, so the current anomaly reflects both the absence of northerly flow and limited cloud cover that would otherwise enhance cooling. Traders are weighting the next 48-hour model runs, which will refine boundary-layer moisture and wind forecasts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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