Recent weather model guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles shows Paris under a ridge of high pressure with southerly flow advecting warmer air masses, supporting a daily maximum near 27–29 °C on May 22. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds are expected to maximize daytime heating while limiting cloud cover that could cap temperatures. These conditions align with the market’s strongest implied probability on 29 °C, followed closely by 28 °C, reflecting trader assessment of the narrow range of likely outcomes. Official forecasts still carry typical uncertainty of ±1–2 °C tied to exact timing of any high-cloud development or boundary-layer mixing, leaving room for modest revisions before the daily peak is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on May 22?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 22?
29°C 40%
28°C 23%
27°C 16%
30°C 13%
NEW
$20,414 Vol.
NEW
$20,414 Vol.
May 22, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
23%
29°C
40%
30°C
13%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 40%
28°C 23%
27°C 16%
30°C 13%
NEW
$20,414 Vol.
NEW
$20,414 Vol.
May 22, 2026
22°C or below
$1,095 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,093 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,309 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,761 Vol.
2%
26°C
$1,926 Vol.
3%
27°C
$1,874 Vol.
16%
28°C
$1,948 Vol.
23%
29°C
$1,812 Vol.
40%
30°C
$2,146 Vol.
13%
31°C
$1,160 Vol.
3%
32°C or higher
$1,347 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weather model guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles shows Paris under a ridge of high pressure with southerly flow advecting warmer air masses, supporting a daily maximum near 27–29 °C on May 22. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds are expected to maximize daytime heating while limiting cloud cover that could cap temperatures. These conditions align with the market’s strongest implied probability on 29 °C, followed closely by 28 °C, reflecting trader assessment of the narrow range of likely outcomes. Official forecasts still carry typical uncertainty of ±1–2 °C tied to exact timing of any high-cloud development or boundary-layer mixing, leaving room for modest revisions before the daily peak is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$20,414End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weather model guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles shows Paris under a ridge of high pressure with southerly flow advecting warmer air masses, supporting a daily maximum near 27–29 °C on May 22. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds are expected to maximize daytime heating while limiting cloud cover that could cap temperatures. These conditions align with the market’s strongest implied probability on 29 °C, followed closely by 28 °C, reflecting trader assessment of the narrow range of likely outcomes. Official forecasts still carry typical uncertainty of ±1–2 °C tied to exact timing of any high-cloud development or boundary-layer mixing, leaving room for modest revisions before the daily peak is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,414End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles shows Paris under a ridge of high pressure with southerly flow advecting warmer air masses, supporting a daily maximum near 27–29 °C on May 22. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds are expected to maximize daytime heating while limiting cloud cover that could cap temperatures. These conditions align with the market’s strongest implied probability on 29 °C, followed closely by 28 °C, reflecting trader assessment of the narrow range of likely outcomes. Official forecasts still carry typical uncertainty of ±1–2 °C tied to exact timing of any high-cloud development or boundary-layer mixing, leaving room for modest revisions before the daily peak is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions