Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs project a daily maximum in the upper 80s to low 90s for Central Park on June 5 under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly flow, and continued warm-air advection from the prior day’s surge. This consensus, consistent with observed highs near 86–87°F on June 4, drives the market-implied 50.5% probability on 90–91°F and secondary support for 92–93°F. Afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover support peak readings in that narrow band, while any earlier sea-breeze or increased humidity could cap the high near 88–89°F. Updated model runs and the afternoon NWS forecast discussion represent the next key data points likely to refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on June 5?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 5?
90-91°F 51%
92-93°F 24%
88-89°F 22%
86-87°F 5.3%
NEW
$28,287 Vol.
NEW
$28,287 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
22%
90-91°F
51%
92-93°F
24%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 51%
92-93°F 24%
88-89°F 22%
86-87°F 5.3%
NEW
$28,287 Vol.
NEW
$28,287 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
81°F or below
$2,107 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$3,056 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,230 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$3,025 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$3,257 Vol.
22%
90-91°F
$2,676 Vol.
51%
92-93°F
$2,607 Vol.
24%
94-95°F
$2,829 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$2,129 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$897 Vol.
<1%
100°F or higher
$5,163 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs project a daily maximum in the upper 80s to low 90s for Central Park on June 5 under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly flow, and continued warm-air advection from the prior day’s surge. This consensus, consistent with observed highs near 86–87°F on June 4, drives the market-implied 50.5% probability on 90–91°F and secondary support for 92–93°F. Afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover support peak readings in that narrow band, while any earlier sea-breeze or increased humidity could cap the high near 88–89°F. Updated model runs and the afternoon NWS forecast discussion represent the next key data points likely to refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$28,287End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs project a daily maximum in the upper 80s to low 90s for Central Park on June 5 under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly flow, and continued warm-air advection from the prior day’s surge. This consensus, consistent with observed highs near 86–87°F on June 4, drives the market-implied 50.5% probability on 90–91°F and secondary support for 92–93°F. Afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover support peak readings in that narrow band, while any earlier sea-breeze or increased humidity could cap the high near 88–89°F. Updated model runs and the afternoon NWS forecast discussion represent the next key data points likely to refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,287End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs project a daily maximum in the upper 80s to low 90s for Central Park on June 5 under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly flow, and continued warm-air advection from the prior day’s surge. This consensus, consistent with observed highs near 86–87°F on June 4, drives the market-implied 50.5% probability on 90–91°F and secondary support for 92–93°F. Afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover support peak readings in that narrow band, while any earlier sea-breeze or increased humidity could cap the high near 88–89°F. Updated model runs and the afternoon NWS forecast discussion represent the next key data points likely to refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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