Official National Weather Service observations recorded a daily maximum of 84–85°F at Houston’s primary monitoring station on June 4, locking the market at 100% implied probability for that bin. Early June climatology typically features highs between 82°F and 92°F under partly cloudy conditions with moderate humidity and scattered convection, aligning with the observed outcome. Stable atmospheric patterns, including limited frontal activity and no significant heat advection, prevented temperatures from reaching the upper 80s or beyond. Minor variations in station siting, timing of peak heating, or post-event data revisions represent the only realistic pathways that could have shifted the exact bin, though current consensus from verified measurements leaves negligible uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on June 4?
Highest temperature in Houston on June 4?
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$41,270 Vol.
$41,270 Vol.
4 jun 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$41,270 Vol.
$41,270 Vol.
4 jun 2026
73°F or below
$187 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$681 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,256 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$7,130 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$5,987 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$4,608 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$6,012 Vol.
100%
86-87°F
$5,975 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$3,552 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$4,316 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$1,565 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations recorded a daily maximum of 84–85°F at Houston’s primary monitoring station on June 4, locking the market at 100% implied probability for that bin. Early June climatology typically features highs between 82°F and 92°F under partly cloudy conditions with moderate humidity and scattered convection, aligning with the observed outcome. Stable atmospheric patterns, including limited frontal activity and no significant heat advection, prevented temperatures from reaching the upper 80s or beyond. Minor variations in station siting, timing of peak heating, or post-event data revisions represent the only realistic pathways that could have shifted the exact bin, though current consensus from verified measurements leaves negligible uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$41,270Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations recorded a daily maximum of 84–85°F at Houston’s primary monitoring station on June 4, locking the market at 100% implied probability for that bin. Early June climatology typically features highs between 82°F and 92°F under partly cloudy conditions with moderate humidity and scattered convection, aligning with the observed outcome. Stable atmospheric patterns, including limited frontal activity and no significant heat advection, prevented temperatures from reaching the upper 80s or beyond. Minor variations in station siting, timing of peak heating, or post-event data revisions represent the only realistic pathways that could have shifted the exact bin, though current consensus from verified measurements leaves negligible uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$41,270Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations recorded a daily maximum of 84–85°F at Houston’s primary monitoring station on June 4, locking the market at 100% implied probability for that bin. Early June climatology typically features highs between 82°F and 92°F under partly cloudy conditions with moderate humidity and scattered convection, aligning with the observed outcome. Stable atmospheric patterns, including limited frontal activity and no significant heat advection, prevented temperatures from reaching the upper 80s or beyond. Minor variations in station siting, timing of peak heating, or post-event data revisions represent the only realistic pathways that could have shifted the exact bin, though current consensus from verified measurements leaves negligible uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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