Official forecasts from New Zealand's MetService currently project a daytime maximum of 16°C in Wellington on May 22, driven by moderate northerly flows and limited cloud cover that support modest warming under typical late-autumn radiative conditions. This aligns with the market-implied 47.5% probability for 16°C as the leading outcome, while 15°C and 17°C options reflect minor model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and wind strength. Wellington's May climatology shows average highs near 14–15°C, so any deviation hinges on short-term synoptic shifts; resolution will draw from official observations at the Kelburn station, with traders closely monitoring the final 24-hour model runs for potential adjustments to these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on May 22?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 22?
16°C 48%
17°C 21%
15°C 18%
14°C 6%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
6%
15°C
18%
16°C
48%
17°C
21%
18°C
4%
19°C or higher
1%
16°C 48%
17°C 21%
15°C 18%
14°C 6%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
9°C or below
$425 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$2,357 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$371 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$268 Vol.
1%
13°C
$846 Vol.
1%
14°C
$395 Vol.
6%
15°C
$846 Vol.
18%
16°C
$548 Vol.
48%
17°C
$976 Vol.
21%
18°C
$1,624 Vol.
4%
19°C or higher
$218 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from New Zealand's MetService currently project a daytime maximum of 16°C in Wellington on May 22, driven by moderate northerly flows and limited cloud cover that support modest warming under typical late-autumn radiative conditions. This aligns with the market-implied 47.5% probability for 16°C as the leading outcome, while 15°C and 17°C options reflect minor model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and wind strength. Wellington's May climatology shows average highs near 14–15°C, so any deviation hinges on short-term synoptic shifts; resolution will draw from official observations at the Kelburn station, with traders closely monitoring the final 24-hour model runs for potential adjustments to these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$8,804End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from New Zealand's MetService currently project a daytime maximum of 16°C in Wellington on May 22, driven by moderate northerly flows and limited cloud cover that support modest warming under typical late-autumn radiative conditions. This aligns with the market-implied 47.5% probability for 16°C as the leading outcome, while 15°C and 17°C options reflect minor model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and wind strength. Wellington's May climatology shows average highs near 14–15°C, so any deviation hinges on short-term synoptic shifts; resolution will draw from official observations at the Kelburn station, with traders closely monitoring the final 24-hour model runs for potential adjustments to these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,804End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from New Zealand's MetService currently project a daytime maximum of 16°C in Wellington on May 22, driven by moderate northerly flows and limited cloud cover that support modest warming under typical late-autumn radiative conditions. This aligns with the market-implied 47.5% probability for 16°C as the leading outcome, while 15°C and 17°C options reflect minor model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and wind strength. Wellington's May climatology shows average highs near 14–15°C, so any deviation hinges on short-term synoptic shifts; resolution will draw from official observations at the Kelburn station, with traders closely monitoring the final 24-hour model runs for potential adjustments to these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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