Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued yesterday afternoon, projects a high of 13°C in Toronto today under cloudy skies with northwest winds gusting to 40 km/h and a 40% chance of showers, driving trader consensus toward 11–13°C outcomes with no clear frontrunner. This reflects a cool northwest flow advecting maritime air masses, limiting solar insolation and suppressing peak afternoon heating at Toronto Pearson International Airport, the market's resolution station. Recent model updates from GEM and global ensembles like GFS/ECMWF shifted probabilities downward from earlier 17°C projections after persistent cloud decks and gusty winds materialized overnight, with current morning readings around 8°C. Key differentiators include shower timing—early precipitation could cap at 11°C, while partial clearing might push toward 14°C—amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty; hourly observations and the next update this afternoon will sharpen the picture.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Toronto on May 14?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 14?
12°C 33%
11°C 29%
13°C 23%
14°C or higher 16%
NEW
$32,739 Vol.
NEW
$32,739 Vol.
May 14, 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
12%
11°C
29%
12°C
33%
13°C
23%
14°C or higher
16%
12°C 33%
11°C 29%
13°C 23%
14°C or higher 16%
NEW
$32,739 Vol.
NEW
$32,739 Vol.
May 14, 2026
4°C or below
$4,339 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$1,333 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$2,630 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$1,530 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$3,623 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$4,563 Vol.
1%
10°C
$3,049 Vol.
12%
11°C
$2,904 Vol.
29%
12°C
$1,932 Vol.
33%
13°C
$2,413 Vol.
23%
14°C or higher
$4,559 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued yesterday afternoon, projects a high of 13°C in Toronto today under cloudy skies with northwest winds gusting to 40 km/h and a 40% chance of showers, driving trader consensus toward 11–13°C outcomes with no clear frontrunner. This reflects a cool northwest flow advecting maritime air masses, limiting solar insolation and suppressing peak afternoon heating at Toronto Pearson International Airport, the market's resolution station. Recent model updates from GEM and global ensembles like GFS/ECMWF shifted probabilities downward from earlier 17°C projections after persistent cloud decks and gusty winds materialized overnight, with current morning readings around 8°C. Key differentiators include shower timing—early precipitation could cap at 11°C, while partial clearing might push toward 14°C—amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty; hourly observations and the next update this afternoon will sharpen the picture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$32,739End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued yesterday afternoon, projects a high of 13°C in Toronto today under cloudy skies with northwest winds gusting to 40 km/h and a 40% chance of showers, driving trader consensus toward 11–13°C outcomes with no clear frontrunner. This reflects a cool northwest flow advecting maritime air masses, limiting solar insolation and suppressing peak afternoon heating at Toronto Pearson International Airport, the market's resolution station. Recent model updates from GEM and global ensembles like GFS/ECMWF shifted probabilities downward from earlier 17°C projections after persistent cloud decks and gusty winds materialized overnight, with current morning readings around 8°C. Key differentiators include shower timing—early precipitation could cap at 11°C, while partial clearing might push toward 14°C—amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty; hourly observations and the next update this afternoon will sharpen the picture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$32,739End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued yesterday afternoon, projects a high of 13°C in Toronto today under cloudy skies with northwest winds gusting to 40 km/h and a 40% chance of showers, driving trader consensus toward 11–13°C outcomes with no clear frontrunner. This reflects a cool northwest flow advecting maritime air masses, limiting solar insolation and suppressing peak afternoon heating at Toronto Pearson International Airport, the market's resolution station. Recent model updates from GEM and global ensembles like GFS/ECMWF shifted probabilities downward from earlier 17°C projections after persistent cloud decks and gusty winds materialized overnight, with current morning readings around 8°C. Key differentiators include shower timing—early precipitation could cap at 11°C, while partial clearing might push toward 14°C—amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty; hourly observations and the next update this afternoon will sharpen the picture.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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