Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a strong likelihood of afternoon highs reaching 31–33°C on May 22, driven by seasonal warming in the region’s subtropical monsoon climate as solar radiation intensifies and the summer pattern begins to establish. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and extended models shows mostly overcast skies with light winds and minimal rainfall expected, limiting evaporative cooling and allowing surface temperatures to climb toward the upper end of the typical late-May range of 29–32°C. Trader positioning around 31°C and 32°C-plus outcomes reflects this consensus from recent model runs, though any unexpected onshore flow or brief showers could cap the peak closer to 30°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 22?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 22?
32°C or higher 41%
31°C 25%
30°C 19%
29°C 12%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
12%
30°C
19%
31°C
25%
32°C or higher
41%
32°C or higher 41%
31°C 25%
30°C 19%
29°C 12%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
22°C or below
$772 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$972 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$585 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$464 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$284 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$975 Vol.
3%
28°C
$902 Vol.
4%
29°C
$429 Vol.
12%
30°C
$596 Vol.
19%
31°C
$530 Vol.
25%
32°C or higher
$2,523 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a strong likelihood of afternoon highs reaching 31–33°C on May 22, driven by seasonal warming in the region’s subtropical monsoon climate as solar radiation intensifies and the summer pattern begins to establish. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and extended models shows mostly overcast skies with light winds and minimal rainfall expected, limiting evaporative cooling and allowing surface temperatures to climb toward the upper end of the typical late-May range of 29–32°C. Trader positioning around 31°C and 32°C-plus outcomes reflects this consensus from recent model runs, though any unexpected onshore flow or brief showers could cap the peak closer to 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volume
$9,014End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a strong likelihood of afternoon highs reaching 31–33°C on May 22, driven by seasonal warming in the region’s subtropical monsoon climate as solar radiation intensifies and the summer pattern begins to establish. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and extended models shows mostly overcast skies with light winds and minimal rainfall expected, limiting evaporative cooling and allowing surface temperatures to climb toward the upper end of the typical late-May range of 29–32°C. Trader positioning around 31°C and 32°C-plus outcomes reflects this consensus from recent model runs, though any unexpected onshore flow or brief showers could cap the peak closer to 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,014End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a strong likelihood of afternoon highs reaching 31–33°C on May 22, driven by seasonal warming in the region’s subtropical monsoon climate as solar radiation intensifies and the summer pattern begins to establish. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and extended models shows mostly overcast skies with light winds and minimal rainfall expected, limiting evaporative cooling and allowing surface temperatures to climb toward the upper end of the typical late-May range of 29–32°C. Trader positioning around 31°C and 32°C-plus outcomes reflects this consensus from recent model runs, though any unexpected onshore flow or brief showers could cap the peak closer to 30°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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