Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84.5% implied probability to a high temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao today, reflecting China Meteorological Administration forecasts alongside ECMWF and GFS models projecting a maximum of 18–19°C under persistent overcast skies and cool maritime northerly winds channeling chilly air from the Yellow Sea. This extends a cool spell with mid-teens highs observed at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport over the past 48 hours, following earlier May warm-ups to 24–26°C. Mid-May climatological averages hover at 21–23°C for the coastal city, but current upper-level troughing suppresses warming; minor clearing could elevate peaks to 20–22°C, with final Wunderground station data resolving the market post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 14?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 14?
23°C or below 81%
24°C 11%
25°C 3.0%
26°C 1.3%
NEW
NEW
May 14, 2026
23°C or below
81%
24°C
11%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
23°C or below 81%
24°C 11%
25°C 3.0%
26°C 1.3%
NEW
NEW
May 14, 2026
23°C or below
$907 Vol.
81%
24°C
$445 Vol.
11%
25°C
$628 Vol.
3%
26°C
$350 Vol.
1%
27°C
$586 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$699 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,243 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$730 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,173 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$636 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,249 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84.5% implied probability to a high temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao today, reflecting China Meteorological Administration forecasts alongside ECMWF and GFS models projecting a maximum of 18–19°C under persistent overcast skies and cool maritime northerly winds channeling chilly air from the Yellow Sea. This extends a cool spell with mid-teens highs observed at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport over the past 48 hours, following earlier May warm-ups to 24–26°C. Mid-May climatological averages hover at 21–23°C for the coastal city, but current upper-level troughing suppresses warming; minor clearing could elevate peaks to 20–22°C, with final Wunderground station data resolving the market post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volume
$8,647End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84.5% implied probability to a high temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao today, reflecting China Meteorological Administration forecasts alongside ECMWF and GFS models projecting a maximum of 18–19°C under persistent overcast skies and cool maritime northerly winds channeling chilly air from the Yellow Sea. This extends a cool spell with mid-teens highs observed at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport over the past 48 hours, following earlier May warm-ups to 24–26°C. Mid-May climatological averages hover at 21–23°C for the coastal city, but current upper-level troughing suppresses warming; minor clearing could elevate peaks to 20–22°C, with final Wunderground station data resolving the market post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,647End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84.5% implied probability to a high temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao today, reflecting China Meteorological Administration forecasts alongside ECMWF and GFS models projecting a maximum of 18–19°C under persistent overcast skies and cool maritime northerly winds channeling chilly air from the Yellow Sea. This extends a cool spell with mid-teens highs observed at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport over the past 48 hours, following earlier May warm-ups to 24–26°C. Mid-May climatological averages hover at 21–23°C for the coastal city, but current upper-level troughing suppresses warming; minor clearing could elevate peaks to 20–22°C, with final Wunderground station data resolving the market post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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