Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering from Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and models like ICON, with Munich Airport station projections peaking at 12-13°C amid persistent overcast skies and scattered showers limiting solar insolation. Morning observations started near 7°C under heavy cloud cover, with hourly outlooks from wetter.com topping at 13°C around 2-4 p.m., while DWD hints at possible late-afternoon warming to 15°C if partial clearing occurs. Light westerly winds and high precipitation odds (up to 90%) cap upside potential, but small variances in cloud breaks or timing could differentiate 12°C from 13°C or nudge into 14°C+. Real-time airport data through evening will sharpen resolution as models update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on May 14?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 14?
12°C 39%
13°C 39%
14°C or higher 19%
11°C 8%
NEW
$26,596 Vol.
NEW
$26,596 Vol.
May 14, 2026
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
8%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C or higher
19%
12°C 39%
13°C 39%
14°C or higher 19%
11°C 8%
NEW
$26,596 Vol.
NEW
$26,596 Vol.
May 14, 2026
9°C
$1,078 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$2,551 Vol.
1%
11°C
$3,206 Vol.
8%
12°C
$3,804 Vol.
39%
13°C
$3,218 Vol.
39%
14°C or higher
$5,621 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering from Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and models like ICON, with Munich Airport station projections peaking at 12-13°C amid persistent overcast skies and scattered showers limiting solar insolation. Morning observations started near 7°C under heavy cloud cover, with hourly outlooks from wetter.com topping at 13°C around 2-4 p.m., while DWD hints at possible late-afternoon warming to 15°C if partial clearing occurs. Light westerly winds and high precipitation odds (up to 90%) cap upside potential, but small variances in cloud breaks or timing could differentiate 12°C from 13°C or nudge into 14°C+. Real-time airport data through evening will sharpen resolution as models update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volume
$26,596End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering from Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and models like ICON, with Munich Airport station projections peaking at 12-13°C amid persistent overcast skies and scattered showers limiting solar insolation. Morning observations started near 7°C under heavy cloud cover, with hourly outlooks from wetter.com topping at 13°C around 2-4 p.m., while DWD hints at possible late-afternoon warming to 15°C if partial clearing occurs. Light westerly winds and high precipitation odds (up to 90%) cap upside potential, but small variances in cloud breaks or timing could differentiate 12°C from 13°C or nudge into 14°C+. Real-time airport data through evening will sharpen resolution as models update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$26,596End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering from Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and models like ICON, with Munich Airport station projections peaking at 12-13°C amid persistent overcast skies and scattered showers limiting solar insolation. Morning observations started near 7°C under heavy cloud cover, with hourly outlooks from wetter.com topping at 13°C around 2-4 p.m., while DWD hints at possible late-afternoon warming to 15°C if partial clearing occurs. Light westerly winds and high precipitation odds (up to 90%) cap upside potential, but small variances in cloud breaks or timing could differentiate 12°C from 13°C or nudge into 14°C+. Real-time airport data through evening will sharpen resolution as models update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions