Latest forecasts from Italian meteorological services and multi-model ensembles like those on Meteoblue indicate Milan’s highest temperature on May 14 will peak around 17–18°C in early afternoon, driving trader consensus toward 17°C (37% implied probability) over 16°C (27%) amid a weak frontal system bringing variable cloud cover and isolated showers. Cool easterly winds (15–40 km/h) and high humidity (up to 96%) limit solar heating, while timing of cloud breaks or afternoon precipitation differentiates outcomes—earlier overcast skies cap at 16°C, brief clears push to 18°C. May climatology averages 22°C highs, but today's upper-level trough suppresses warmth; monitor Milan Linate Airport observations and evening model updates for resolution as the peak window approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on May 14?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 14?
17°C 36%
16°C 25%
18°C 18%
19°C 14.3%
NEW
$29,422 Vol.
NEW
$29,422 Vol.
May 14, 2026
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
25%
17°C
36%
18°C
18%
19°C
14%
20°C or higher
7%
17°C 36%
16°C 25%
18°C 18%
19°C 14.3%
NEW
$29,422 Vol.
NEW
$29,422 Vol.
May 14, 2026
11°C
$2,312 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,350 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,342 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,236 Vol.
1%
15°C
$3,570 Vol.
5%
16°C
$3,090 Vol.
25%
17°C
$2,763 Vol.
36%
18°C
$3,188 Vol.
18%
19°C
$3,416 Vol.
14%
20°C or higher
$6,137 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from Italian meteorological services and multi-model ensembles like those on Meteoblue indicate Milan’s highest temperature on May 14 will peak around 17–18°C in early afternoon, driving trader consensus toward 17°C (37% implied probability) over 16°C (27%) amid a weak frontal system bringing variable cloud cover and isolated showers. Cool easterly winds (15–40 km/h) and high humidity (up to 96%) limit solar heating, while timing of cloud breaks or afternoon precipitation differentiates outcomes—earlier overcast skies cap at 16°C, brief clears push to 18°C. May climatology averages 22°C highs, but today's upper-level trough suppresses warmth; monitor Milan Linate Airport observations and evening model updates for resolution as the peak window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$29,422End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from Italian meteorological services and multi-model ensembles like those on Meteoblue indicate Milan’s highest temperature on May 14 will peak around 17–18°C in early afternoon, driving trader consensus toward 17°C (37% implied probability) over 16°C (27%) amid a weak frontal system bringing variable cloud cover and isolated showers. Cool easterly winds (15–40 km/h) and high humidity (up to 96%) limit solar heating, while timing of cloud breaks or afternoon precipitation differentiates outcomes—earlier overcast skies cap at 16°C, brief clears push to 18°C. May climatology averages 22°C highs, but today's upper-level trough suppresses warmth; monitor Milan Linate Airport observations and evening model updates for resolution as the peak window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$29,422End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from Italian meteorological services and multi-model ensembles like those on Meteoblue indicate Milan’s highest temperature on May 14 will peak around 17–18°C in early afternoon, driving trader consensus toward 17°C (37% implied probability) over 16°C (27%) amid a weak frontal system bringing variable cloud cover and isolated showers. Cool easterly winds (15–40 km/h) and high humidity (up to 96%) limit solar heating, while timing of cloud breaks or afternoon precipitation differentiates outcomes—earlier overcast skies cap at 16°C, brief clears push to 18°C. May climatology averages 22°C highs, but today's upper-level trough suppresses warmth; monitor Milan Linate Airport observations and evening model updates for resolution as the peak window approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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