Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a peak temperature of 90-91°F in Miami today at Miami International Airport (KMIA), reflecting the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance projecting highs in the upper 80s to low 90s amid a dominant subtropical ridge fostering ample sunshine and above-normal heat. Current midday readings near 89°F underscore building warmth, bolstered by elevated Atlantic sea surface temperatures exceeding 82°F, which enhance daytime heating. Sea breeze convergence introduces a 30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could moderate peaks into the 88-93°F range, per forecast model ensembles. This setup surpasses the 86°F May climatological normal, with no major disruptions noted in the past 24 hours. NWS updates expected through evening will refine resolution near sunset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on May 14?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 14?
90-91°F 50%
92-93°F 22%
88-89°F 13%
94-95°F 4.7%
$30,574 Vol.
$30,574 Vol.
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
13%
90-91°F
50%
92-93°F
22%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 50%
92-93°F 22%
88-89°F 13%
94-95°F 4.7%
$30,574 Vol.
$30,574 Vol.
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
13%
90-91°F
50%
92-93°F
22%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:54 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a peak temperature of 90-91°F in Miami today at Miami International Airport (KMIA), reflecting the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance projecting highs in the upper 80s to low 90s amid a dominant subtropical ridge fostering ample sunshine and above-normal heat. Current midday readings near 89°F underscore building warmth, bolstered by elevated Atlantic sea surface temperatures exceeding 82°F, which enhance daytime heating. Sea breeze convergence introduces a 30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could moderate peaks into the 88-93°F range, per forecast model ensembles. This setup surpasses the 86°F May climatological normal, with no major disruptions noted in the past 24 hours. NWS updates expected through evening will refine resolution near sunset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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