National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs for Miami on June 4 projected an overnight minimum of 72–73°F at the official Miami International Airport station, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated dew points near 72°F, and light northeast breezes that suppressed radiative cooling under typical early-June subtropical conditions. This aligned with climatological baselines where daily lows average 76–77°F but frequently dip lower amid moisture-laden air masses and reduced insolation. Trader consensus priced this outcome above 99 percent because updated short-range guidance showed no significant warming trend or clearing that would push readings into the mid-70s or higher. A realistic shift would require stronger afternoon heating or drier air advection to elevate the minimum above 73°F before the 24-hour period closed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on June 4?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 4?
72-73°F 99.7%
70-71°F <1%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
$22,719 Vol.
$22,719 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
100%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 99.7%
70-71°F <1%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
$22,719 Vol.
$22,719 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
67°F or below
$1,720 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,080 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$2,568 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$2,557 Vol.
100%
74-75°F
$2,163 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,421 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,650 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$407 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,347 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$6,644 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$1,162 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs for Miami on June 4 projected an overnight minimum of 72–73°F at the official Miami International Airport station, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated dew points near 72°F, and light northeast breezes that suppressed radiative cooling under typical early-June subtropical conditions. This aligned with climatological baselines where daily lows average 76–77°F but frequently dip lower amid moisture-laden air masses and reduced insolation. Trader consensus priced this outcome above 99 percent because updated short-range guidance showed no significant warming trend or clearing that would push readings into the mid-70s or higher. A realistic shift would require stronger afternoon heating or drier air advection to elevate the minimum above 73°F before the 24-hour period closed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 2, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Volume
$22,719End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:39 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs for Miami on June 4 projected an overnight minimum of 72–73°F at the official Miami International Airport station, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated dew points near 72°F, and light northeast breezes that suppressed radiative cooling under typical early-June subtropical conditions. This aligned with climatological baselines where daily lows average 76–77°F but frequently dip lower amid moisture-laden air masses and reduced insolation. Trader consensus priced this outcome above 99 percent because updated short-range guidance showed no significant warming trend or clearing that would push readings into the mid-70s or higher. A realistic shift would require stronger afternoon heating or drier air advection to elevate the minimum above 73°F before the 24-hour period closed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,719End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:39 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs for Miami on June 4 projected an overnight minimum of 72–73°F at the official Miami International Airport station, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated dew points near 72°F, and light northeast breezes that suppressed radiative cooling under typical early-June subtropical conditions. This aligned with climatological baselines where daily lows average 76–77°F but frequently dip lower amid moisture-laden air masses and reduced insolation. Trader consensus priced this outcome above 99 percent because updated short-range guidance showed no significant warming trend or clearing that would push readings into the mid-70s or higher. A realistic shift would require stronger afternoon heating or drier air advection to elevate the minimum above 73°F before the 24-hour period closed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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