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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 22?

icon for Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 22?

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 22?

May 21

May 22

May 21

May 22

68-69°F 32%

66-67°F 29%

70-71°F 26%

72-73°F 12%

Polymarket
NEW

68-69°F 32%

66-67°F 29%

70-71°F 26%

72-73°F 12%

Polymarket
NEW

61°F or below

$199 Vol.

<1%

62-63°F

$177 Vol.

1%

64-65°F

$221 Vol.

2%

66-67°F

$306 Vol.

29%

68-69°F

$313 Vol.

32%

70-71°F

$514 Vol.

26%

72-73°F

$413 Vol.

12%

74-75°F

$309 Vol.

5%

76-77°F

$261 Vol.

2%

78-79°F

$265 Vol.

<1%

80°F or higher

$515 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow holding Los Angeles daytime highs near 67–71 °F on May 22, keeping the leading market buckets tightly clustered. Subtle variations in cloud-cover dissipation timing and local wind speeds explain the narrow spread among the 66–67 °F, 68–69 °F, and 70–71 °F outcomes; stronger sea breezes or earlier clearing can add 2–3 °F, while thicker stratus delays warming. Historical mid-May climatology at Los Angeles International Airport shows similar marine-influenced days averaging 68–72 °F, supporting trader focus on these thresholds. Updated NWS short-range guidance and next model cycle this evening will likely tighten resolution odds further.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,483
End Date
May 22, 2026
Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow holding Los Angeles daytime highs near 67–71 °F on May 22, keeping the leading market buckets tightly clustered. Subtle variations in cloud-cover dissipation timing and local wind speeds explain the narrow spread among the 66–67 °F, 68–69 °F, and 70–71 °F outcomes; stronger sea breezes or earlier clearing can add 2–3 °F, while thicker stratus delays warming. Historical mid-May climatology at Los Angeles International Airport shows similar marine-influenced days averaging 68–72 °F, supporting trader focus on these thresholds. Updated NWS short-range guidance and next model cycle this evening will likely tighten resolution odds further.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,483
End Date
May 22, 2026
Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 22?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "68-69°F" at 32%, followed by "66-67°F" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 22?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 22?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 22?" is "68-69°F" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "66-67°F" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 22?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.