Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daily high near 70–72°F at Los Angeles International Airport on May 18, driven by a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow that limits afternoon warming along coastal Southern California. This meteorological setup, typical for mid-May, has anchored trader consensus around the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins, which together imply over 76 percent probability. Historical climatology shows May highs averaging 72–74°F downtown, but the current onshore regime favors slightly cooler readings. Forecasters will issue updated model runs and official advisories overnight, with any shift in marine layer depth or wind patterns likely to move implied probabilities before resolution tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 18?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 18?
70-71°F 47%
72-73°F 31%
74°F or higher 13%
68-69°F 10%
NEW
$13,362 Vol.
NEW
$13,362 Vol.
May 18, 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
47%
72-73°F
31%
74°F or higher
13%
70-71°F 47%
72-73°F 31%
74°F or higher 13%
68-69°F 10%
NEW
$13,362 Vol.
NEW
$13,362 Vol.
May 18, 2026
55°F or below
$895 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,147 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$2,863 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,001 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$3,022 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$299 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$704 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$1,264 Vol.
10%
70-71°F
$724 Vol.
47%
72-73°F
$660 Vol.
31%
74°F or higher
$1,016 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daily high near 70–72°F at Los Angeles International Airport on May 18, driven by a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow that limits afternoon warming along coastal Southern California. This meteorological setup, typical for mid-May, has anchored trader consensus around the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins, which together imply over 76 percent probability. Historical climatology shows May highs averaging 72–74°F downtown, but the current onshore regime favors slightly cooler readings. Forecasters will issue updated model runs and official advisories overnight, with any shift in marine layer depth or wind patterns likely to move implied probabilities before resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$13,362End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daily high near 70–72°F at Los Angeles International Airport on May 18, driven by a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow that limits afternoon warming along coastal Southern California. This meteorological setup, typical for mid-May, has anchored trader consensus around the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins, which together imply over 76 percent probability. Historical climatology shows May highs averaging 72–74°F downtown, but the current onshore regime favors slightly cooler readings. Forecasters will issue updated model runs and official advisories overnight, with any shift in marine layer depth or wind patterns likely to move implied probabilities before resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,362End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daily high near 70–72°F at Los Angeles International Airport on May 18, driven by a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow that limits afternoon warming along coastal Southern California. This meteorological setup, typical for mid-May, has anchored trader consensus around the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins, which together imply over 76 percent probability. Historical climatology shows May highs averaging 72–74°F downtown, but the current onshore regime favors slightly cooler readings. Forecasters will issue updated model runs and official advisories overnight, with any shift in marine layer depth or wind patterns likely to move implied probabilities before resolution tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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