Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks for the final days of the pre-monsoon period show Karachi’s maximum temperatures climbing 3–4 °C to the 36–38 °C range on May 18 under strengthening southwesterly flow, yet the city’s coastal location introduces substantial uncertainty through the timing and strength of the sea breeze. When this moist, cooler maritime air arrives before peak solar heating, it caps the official high near 34–35 °C; if drier continental air dominates instead, readings of 36 °C or higher become more likely. Historical May averages near 35 °C and recent model consensus both keep the market tightly balanced across the 34 °C, 35 °C, and 36 °C-plus brackets, with resolution hinging on the 24-hour official observation from the Masroor station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on May 18?
34°C 32%
36°C or higher 28%
35°C 26%
33°C 12%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
12%
34°C
32%
35°C
26%
36°C or higher
28%
34°C 32%
36°C or higher 28%
35°C 26%
33°C 12%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
12%
34°C
32%
35°C
26%
36°C or higher
28%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCPakistan Meteorological Department outlooks for the final days of the pre-monsoon period show Karachi’s maximum temperatures climbing 3–4 °C to the 36–38 °C range on May 18 under strengthening southwesterly flow, yet the city’s coastal location introduces substantial uncertainty through the timing and strength of the sea breeze. When this moist, cooler maritime air arrives before peak solar heating, it caps the official high near 34–35 °C; if drier continental air dominates instead, readings of 36 °C or higher become more likely. Historical May averages near 35 °C and recent model consensus both keep the market tightly balanced across the 34 °C, 35 °C, and 36 °C-plus brackets, with resolution hinging on the 24-hour official observation from the Masroor station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions