Recent National Weather Service and NOAA guidance, including the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs, drives the overwhelming market consensus for a Denver high of 71°F or below by showing a stable high-pressure ridge and northerly flow that advects cooler continental air into the region. Early-morning observations near 52°F further support limited daytime warming, keeping afternoon peaks in the upper 60s to low 70s despite climatological May averages around 74°F. This pattern contrasts with the preceding days of near-record heat and aligns with typical springtime suppression of temperatures under similar synoptic setups. Any shift in steering winds or a breakdown of the ridge could allow modest warming, though current ensemble consensus indicates low likelihood before sunset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on May 17?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 17?
71°F or below 99.6%
74-75°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$43,527 Vol.
$43,527 Vol.
May 17, 2026
71°F or below
100%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
71°F or below 99.6%
74-75°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$43,527 Vol.
$43,527 Vol.
May 17, 2026
71°F or below
$5,435 Vol.
100%
72-73°F
$2,854 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$4,615 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$5,088 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$8,244 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$5,836 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$7,033 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$933 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$456 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$481 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$2,550 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA guidance, including the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs, drives the overwhelming market consensus for a Denver high of 71°F or below by showing a stable high-pressure ridge and northerly flow that advects cooler continental air into the region. Early-morning observations near 52°F further support limited daytime warming, keeping afternoon peaks in the upper 60s to low 70s despite climatological May averages around 74°F. This pattern contrasts with the preceding days of near-record heat and aligns with typical springtime suppression of temperatures under similar synoptic setups. Any shift in steering winds or a breakdown of the ridge could allow modest warming, though current ensemble consensus indicates low likelihood before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$43,527End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA guidance, including the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs, drives the overwhelming market consensus for a Denver high of 71°F or below by showing a stable high-pressure ridge and northerly flow that advects cooler continental air into the region. Early-morning observations near 52°F further support limited daytime warming, keeping afternoon peaks in the upper 60s to low 70s despite climatological May averages around 74°F. This pattern contrasts with the preceding days of near-record heat and aligns with typical springtime suppression of temperatures under similar synoptic setups. Any shift in steering winds or a breakdown of the ridge could allow modest warming, though current ensemble consensus indicates low likelihood before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$43,527End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFRecent National Weather Service and NOAA guidance, including the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs, drives the overwhelming market consensus for a Denver high of 71°F or below by showing a stable high-pressure ridge and northerly flow that advects cooler continental air into the region. Early-morning observations near 52°F further support limited daytime warming, keeping afternoon peaks in the upper 60s to low 70s despite climatological May averages around 74°F. This pattern contrasts with the preceding days of near-record heat and aligns with typical springtime suppression of temperatures under similar synoptic setups. Any shift in steering winds or a breakdown of the ridge could allow modest warming, though current ensemble consensus indicates low likelihood before sunset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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