Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum temperature in Chongqing tomorrow near 24–25 °C, shaped by the city’s position in the humid Sichuan Basin where trapped moisture and a moderate subtropical high suppress strong daytime heating. Mid-May climatology supports this range, with historical averages around 26 °C but recent model runs showing slightly cooler conditions due to persistent low-level humidity and light southerly flow that limits boundary-layer mixing. Small differences in afternoon cloud cover or wind strength could easily shift the official reading recorded at Jiangbei International Airport by one degree in either direction, which explains the tight clustering of trader probabilities across the 23–25 °C outcomes. New ensemble guidance and overnight observations will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 18?
24°C 28%
25°C 21%
23°C 11%
26°C 10%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
19%
24°C
28%
25°C
21%
26°C
10%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 28%
25°C 21%
23°C 11%
26°C 10%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
19%
24°C
28%
25°C
21%
26°C
10%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKCurrent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daily maximum temperature in Chongqing tomorrow near 24–25 °C, shaped by the city’s position in the humid Sichuan Basin where trapped moisture and a moderate subtropical high suppress strong daytime heating. Mid-May climatology supports this range, with historical averages around 26 °C but recent model runs showing slightly cooler conditions due to persistent low-level humidity and light southerly flow that limits boundary-layer mixing. Small differences in afternoon cloud cover or wind strength could easily shift the official reading recorded at Jiangbei International Airport by one degree in either direction, which explains the tight clustering of trader probabilities across the 23–25 °C outcomes. New ensemble guidance and overnight observations will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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