Recent forecast model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a southerly flow advecting warmer air over the Korean Peninsula, positioning Busan’s expected daytime maximum near 29–31 °C for May 17. This places the market-implied odds for 30 °C at near-certainty, reflecting consensus on peak conditions under stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Coastal sea-breeze circulation may provide some moderation, yet current observations at Gimhae International Airport already show morning temperatures near 25 °C with continued warming projected through afternoon. Historical May climatology supports occasional early-summer spikes to this range when synoptic patterns favor advection from the south, though any earlier-than-expected onshore flow could cap the high below the leading outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on May 17?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 17?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,453 Vol.
$49,453 Vol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,453 Vol.
$49,453 Vol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
$2,533 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$936 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$944 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,473 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,007 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,819 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,599 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$8,791 Vol.
100%
31°C
$3,779 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$4,701 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$14,871 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a southerly flow advecting warmer air over the Korean Peninsula, positioning Busan’s expected daytime maximum near 29–31 °C for May 17. This places the market-implied odds for 30 °C at near-certainty, reflecting consensus on peak conditions under stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Coastal sea-breeze circulation may provide some moderation, yet current observations at Gimhae International Airport already show morning temperatures near 25 °C with continued warming projected through afternoon. Historical May climatology supports occasional early-summer spikes to this range when synoptic patterns favor advection from the south, though any earlier-than-expected onshore flow could cap the high below the leading outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$49,453End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a southerly flow advecting warmer air over the Korean Peninsula, positioning Busan’s expected daytime maximum near 29–31 °C for May 17. This places the market-implied odds for 30 °C at near-certainty, reflecting consensus on peak conditions under stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Coastal sea-breeze circulation may provide some moderation, yet current observations at Gimhae International Airport already show morning temperatures near 25 °C with continued warming projected through afternoon. Historical May climatology supports occasional early-summer spikes to this range when synoptic patterns favor advection from the south, though any earlier-than-expected onshore flow could cap the high below the leading outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$49,453End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKRecent forecast model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a southerly flow advecting warmer air over the Korean Peninsula, positioning Busan’s expected daytime maximum near 29–31 °C for May 17. This places the market-implied odds for 30 °C at near-certainty, reflecting consensus on peak conditions under stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Coastal sea-breeze circulation may provide some moderation, yet current observations at Gimhae International Airport already show morning temperatures near 25 °C with continued warming projected through afternoon. Historical May climatology supports occasional early-summer spikes to this range when synoptic patterns favor advection from the south, though any earlier-than-expected onshore flow could cap the high below the leading outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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