Current weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute indicate a daytime high near 14°C for Amsterdam on May 17, driven by moderate westerly flow and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May in the region, where average highs reach 15–17°C but recent model runs show suppressed warming from persistent marine air. Trader consensus at 94% for exactly 14°C reflects high confidence in official station measurements at Schiphol or Amsterdam, which resolve at 0.1°C increments. A shift to clearer conditions or a stronger southerly component could push readings to 15°C or above, though ensemble spread remains narrow and favors the current outlook through the afternoon observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 17?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 17?
14°C 87%
15°C 7%
16°C 2.3%
17°C <1%
$26,081 Vol.
$26,081 Vol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
87%
15°C
7%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 87%
15°C 7%
16°C 2.3%
17°C <1%
$26,081 Vol.
$26,081 Vol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$1,678 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,627 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,132 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$3,429 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$5,271 Vol.
87%
15°C
$4,108 Vol.
7%
16°C
$3,123 Vol.
2%
17°C
$2,291 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,551 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$942 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$431 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute indicate a daytime high near 14°C for Amsterdam on May 17, driven by moderate westerly flow and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May in the region, where average highs reach 15–17°C but recent model runs show suppressed warming from persistent marine air. Trader consensus at 94% for exactly 14°C reflects high confidence in official station measurements at Schiphol or Amsterdam, which resolve at 0.1°C increments. A shift to clearer conditions or a stronger southerly component could push readings to 15°C or above, though ensemble spread remains narrow and favors the current outlook through the afternoon observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$26,081End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute indicate a daytime high near 14°C for Amsterdam on May 17, driven by moderate westerly flow and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May in the region, where average highs reach 15–17°C but recent model runs show suppressed warming from persistent marine air. Trader consensus at 94% for exactly 14°C reflects high confidence in official station measurements at Schiphol or Amsterdam, which resolve at 0.1°C increments. A shift to clearer conditions or a stronger southerly component could push readings to 15°C or above, though ensemble spread remains narrow and favors the current outlook through the afternoon observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$26,081End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMCurrent weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute indicate a daytime high near 14°C for Amsterdam on May 17, driven by moderate westerly flow and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May in the region, where average highs reach 15–17°C but recent model runs show suppressed warming from persistent marine air. Trader consensus at 94% for exactly 14°C reflects high confidence in official station measurements at Schiphol or Amsterdam, which resolve at 0.1°C increments. A shift to clearer conditions or a stronger southerly component could push readings to 15°C or above, though ensemble spread remains narrow and favors the current outlook through the afternoon observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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