National Weather Service measurements at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (Sea-Tac) record 2.77 inches of total precipitation through April 28, 2026, with zero additional rainfall on April 29 and negligible amounts expected on the 30th amid persistent dry high-pressure conditions, firmly anchoring the outcome in the 2.5-3 inch range that commands 97% market-implied probability. This total aligns closely with Seattle's April climatological average of approximately 2.9 inches (1991-2020 normals), reflecting a typical spring pattern influenced by Pacific Northwest steering winds limiting moisture influx. Trader consensus reflects the high reliability of official gauge data, though rare scenarios like post-month measurement revisions or disputes over station-specific records could theoretically challenge it before final monthly summary release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Precipitaciones en Seattle en abril?
¿Precipitaciones en Seattle en abril?
2.5-3" 97.5%
3-3.5" <1%
4.5-5" <1%
<2.5" <1%
$77,635 Vol.
$77,635 Vol.
<2.5"
<1%
2.5-3"
98%
3-3.5"
<1%
3.5-4"
<1%
4-4.5"
<1%
4.5-5"
<1%
>5"
<1%
2.5-3" 97.5%
3-3.5" <1%
4.5-5" <1%
<2.5" <1%
$77,635 Vol.
$77,635 Vol.
<2.5"
<1%
2.5-3"
98%
3-3.5"
<1%
3.5-4"
<1%
4-4.5"
<1%
4.5-5"
<1%
>5"
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service measurements at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (Sea-Tac) record 2.77 inches of total precipitation through April 28, 2026, with zero additional rainfall on April 29 and negligible amounts expected on the 30th amid persistent dry high-pressure conditions, firmly anchoring the outcome in the 2.5-3 inch range that commands 97% market-implied probability. This total aligns closely with Seattle's April climatological average of approximately 2.9 inches (1991-2020 normals), reflecting a typical spring pattern influenced by Pacific Northwest steering winds limiting moisture influx. Trader consensus reflects the high reliability of official gauge data, though rare scenarios like post-month measurement revisions or disputes over station-specific records could theoretically challenge it before final monthly summary release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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