**Japan Meteorological Agency observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the official metric for this market—confirm the lowest temperature on May 1 reached 12°C during early morning hours, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome.** Hourly AMEDAS data showed temperatures stabilizing above 12°C thereafter under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, aligning with late-April forecast model consensus projecting lows near 11–13°C amid typical early-May climatology (historical averages around 13–15°C). This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified measurements rather than projections, with minimal uncertainty. Realistic challenges include rare post-day data revisions or station-specific anomalies, though final JMA daily summaries, expected soon, are unlikely to alter the reading significantly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 1 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 1 de mayo?
12°C 100.0%
7°C o menos <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$17,094 Vol.
$17,094 Vol.
1 may 2026
7°C o menos
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
100%
12°C 100.0%
7°C o menos <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$17,094 Vol.
$17,094 Vol.
1 may 2026
7°C o menos
$654 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$784 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$753 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,542 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,217 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,181 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Japan Meteorological Agency observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the official metric for this market—confirm the lowest temperature on May 1 reached 12°C during early morning hours, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome.** Hourly AMEDAS data showed temperatures stabilizing above 12°C thereafter under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, aligning with late-April forecast model consensus projecting lows near 11–13°C amid typical early-May climatology (historical averages around 13–15°C). This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified measurements rather than projections, with minimal uncertainty. Realistic challenges include rare post-day data revisions or station-specific anomalies, though final JMA daily summaries, expected soon, are unlikely to alter the reading significantly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$17,094Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Japan Meteorological Agency observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the official metric for this market—confirm the lowest temperature on May 1 reached 12°C during early morning hours, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome.** Hourly AMEDAS data showed temperatures stabilizing above 12°C thereafter under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, aligning with late-April forecast model consensus projecting lows near 11–13°C amid typical early-May climatology (historical averages around 13–15°C). This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified measurements rather than projections, with minimal uncertainty. Realistic challenges include rare post-day data revisions or station-specific anomalies, though final JMA daily summaries, expected soon, are unlikely to alter the reading significantly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$17,094Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Japan Meteorological Agency observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the official metric for this market—confirm the lowest temperature on May 1 reached 12°C during early morning hours, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome.** Hourly AMEDAS data showed temperatures stabilizing above 12°C thereafter under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, aligning with late-April forecast model consensus projecting lows near 11–13°C amid typical early-May climatology (historical averages around 13–15°C). This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified measurements rather than projections, with minimal uncertainty. Realistic challenges include rare post-day data revisions or station-specific anomalies, though final JMA daily summaries, expected soon, are unlikely to alter the reading significantly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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