Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight ensemble spread in Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, implying Seoul's May 3 minimum temperature near 10–12°C amid early spring variability. Recent KMA short-range forecasts show persistent mostly cloudy conditions from May 1, with current overnight lows around 9–12°C due to high humidity (85–95%) curbing radiative cooling, while climatological May 3 averages hover at 11°C. Differentiating factors include potential overnight clearing for sharper drops to 9°C via enhanced infrared loss, versus sustained overcast or southerly winds insulating at 13–15°C; boundary layer stability and subtle frontal timing add uncertainty. Next KMA update on May 2 will incorporate fresh observations to narrow the spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 3 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 3 de mayo?
11°C 17%
12°C 15%
9°C 12%
10°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
7°C o menos
2%
8°C
6%
9°C
11%
10°C
14%
11°C
27%
12°C
25%
13°C
12%
14°C
7%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C o más
<1%
11°C 17%
12°C 15%
9°C 12%
10°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
7°C o menos
$163 Vol.
2%
8°C
$43 Vol.
6%
9°C
$50 Vol.
11%
10°C
$36 Vol.
14%
11°C
$14 Vol.
27%
12°C
$26 Vol.
25%
13°C
$42 Vol.
12%
14°C
$34 Vol.
7%
15°C
$37 Vol.
3%
16°C
$448 Vol.
1%
17°C o más
$458 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight ensemble spread in Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, implying Seoul's May 3 minimum temperature near 10–12°C amid early spring variability. Recent KMA short-range forecasts show persistent mostly cloudy conditions from May 1, with current overnight lows around 9–12°C due to high humidity (85–95%) curbing radiative cooling, while climatological May 3 averages hover at 11°C. Differentiating factors include potential overnight clearing for sharper drops to 9°C via enhanced infrared loss, versus sustained overcast or southerly winds insulating at 13–15°C; boundary layer stability and subtle frontal timing add uncertainty. Next KMA update on May 2 will incorporate fresh observations to narrow the spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$1,351Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight ensemble spread in Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, implying Seoul's May 3 minimum temperature near 10–12°C amid early spring variability. Recent KMA short-range forecasts show persistent mostly cloudy conditions from May 1, with current overnight lows around 9–12°C due to high humidity (85–95%) curbing radiative cooling, while climatological May 3 averages hover at 11°C. Differentiating factors include potential overnight clearing for sharper drops to 9°C via enhanced infrared loss, versus sustained overcast or southerly winds insulating at 13–15°C; boundary layer stability and subtle frontal timing add uncertainty. Next KMA update on May 2 will incorporate fresh observations to narrow the spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,351Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight ensemble spread in Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, implying Seoul's May 3 minimum temperature near 10–12°C amid early spring variability. Recent KMA short-range forecasts show persistent mostly cloudy conditions from May 1, with current overnight lows around 9–12°C due to high humidity (85–95%) curbing radiative cooling, while climatological May 3 averages hover at 11°C. Differentiating factors include potential overnight clearing for sharper drops to 9°C via enhanced infrared loss, versus sustained overcast or southerly winds insulating at 13–15°C; boundary layer stability and subtle frontal timing add uncertainty. Next KMA update on May 2 will incorporate fresh observations to narrow the spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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