Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast, updated April 30, projects Seoul's May 1 minimum temperature at 11°C under mostly cloudy morning skies transitioning to clear, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling after light winds and a stable post-frontal air mass. Nearby Incheon International Airport models show early-morning lows dipping to 10°C before rebounding to 11°C by dawn, highlighting urban heat island effects that often elevate Seoul readings by 1°C. Trader consensus clusters around 10–12°C, mirroring ensemble model agreement amid spring climatology where early-May lows average 11°C; subtle differences in cloud persistence or breeze strength could tip the exact outcome, with final KMA hourly guidance expected overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 1 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 1 de mayo?
10°C 46%
11°C 33%
12°C 32%
9°C 6.6%
7°C o menos
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
6%
10°C
31%
11°C
37%
12°C
32%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C o más
<1%
10°C 46%
11°C 33%
12°C 32%
9°C 6.6%
7°C o menos
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
6%
10°C
31%
11°C
37%
12°C
32%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast, updated April 30, projects Seoul's May 1 minimum temperature at 11°C under mostly cloudy morning skies transitioning to clear, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling after light winds and a stable post-frontal air mass. Nearby Incheon International Airport models show early-morning lows dipping to 10°C before rebounding to 11°C by dawn, highlighting urban heat island effects that often elevate Seoul readings by 1°C. Trader consensus clusters around 10–12°C, mirroring ensemble model agreement amid spring climatology where early-May lows average 11°C; subtle differences in cloud persistence or breeze strength could tip the exact outcome, with final KMA hourly guidance expected overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes