Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecasts, updated on May 1, project Seoul's lowest temperature at exactly 12°C under persistent clear skies and a stable high-pressure ridge minimizing radiative cooling overnight, with light westerly winds around 15 km/h preventing sharper drops. Current surface observations from Gimpo and Incheon airports confirm nighttime lows hovering near 13°C early this morning, aligning with ensemble model consensus and early May climatological norms of 11–13°C averages. This drives the 100% market-implied probability on 12°C, reflecting trader confidence in official data as resolution nears via Seoul's primary weather station readings. Realistic challenges include unforeseen cold air advection or increased cloud cover, though model runs show low likelihood before midday updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 1 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 1 de mayo?
12°C 100.0%
7°C o menos <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$14,154 Vol.
$14,154 Vol.
1 may 2026
7°C o menos
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
100%
12°C 100.0%
7°C o menos <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$14,154 Vol.
$14,154 Vol.
1 may 2026
7°C o menos
$1,397 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,359 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$875 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$761 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,466 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$3,863 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecasts, updated on May 1, project Seoul's lowest temperature at exactly 12°C under persistent clear skies and a stable high-pressure ridge minimizing radiative cooling overnight, with light westerly winds around 15 km/h preventing sharper drops. Current surface observations from Gimpo and Incheon airports confirm nighttime lows hovering near 13°C early this morning, aligning with ensemble model consensus and early May climatological norms of 11–13°C averages. This drives the 100% market-implied probability on 12°C, reflecting trader confidence in official data as resolution nears via Seoul's primary weather station readings. Realistic challenges include unforeseen cold air advection or increased cloud cover, though model runs show low likelihood before midday updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$14,154Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecasts, updated on May 1, project Seoul's lowest temperature at exactly 12°C under persistent clear skies and a stable high-pressure ridge minimizing radiative cooling overnight, with light westerly winds around 15 km/h preventing sharper drops. Current surface observations from Gimpo and Incheon airports confirm nighttime lows hovering near 13°C early this morning, aligning with ensemble model consensus and early May climatological norms of 11–13°C averages. This drives the 100% market-implied probability on 12°C, reflecting trader confidence in official data as resolution nears via Seoul's primary weather station readings. Realistic challenges include unforeseen cold air advection or increased cloud cover, though model runs show low likelihood before midday updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$14,154Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecasts, updated on May 1, project Seoul's lowest temperature at exactly 12°C under persistent clear skies and a stable high-pressure ridge minimizing radiative cooling overnight, with light westerly winds around 15 km/h preventing sharper drops. Current surface observations from Gimpo and Incheon airports confirm nighttime lows hovering near 13°C early this morning, aligning with ensemble model consensus and early May climatological norms of 11–13°C averages. This drives the 100% market-implied probability on 12°C, reflecting trader confidence in official data as resolution nears via Seoul's primary weather station readings. Realistic challenges include unforeseen cold air advection or increased cloud cover, though model runs show low likelihood before midday updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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