Latest National Weather Service guidance for Miami forecasts a low around 70°F overnight into May 2 under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds of 5-9 mph, promoting some radiative cooling while high dewpoints near 70°F cap significant drops. Trader sentiment clusters implied probabilities tightly around 72-75°F (52.5% combined), differentiating from cooler outcomes due to urban heat island effects at Miami International Airport observation site, persistent southerly flow from Atlantic sea surface temperatures above 78°F, and early-May climatological averages of 72-74°F with minimal cold air influence. Ensemble model spread (GFS, ECMWF) shows 1-3°F variance from timing of evening sea breeze and cloud cover; next forecast update this evening could shift odds further as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 2 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 2 de mayo?
74-75°F 27%
78-79°F 21%
76-77°F 11%
72-73°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
71°F o menos
5%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F o más
<1%
74-75°F 27%
78-79°F 21%
76-77°F 11%
72-73°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
71°F o menos
$383 Vol.
5%
72-73°F
$184 Vol.
24%
74-75°F
$228 Vol.
29%
76-77°F
$123 Vol.
29%
78-79°F
$130 Vol.
32%
80-81°F
$410 Vol.
4%
82-83°F
$256 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$373 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$429 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$814 Vol.
<1%
90°F o más
$2,165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for Miami forecasts a low around 70°F overnight into May 2 under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds of 5-9 mph, promoting some radiative cooling while high dewpoints near 70°F cap significant drops. Trader sentiment clusters implied probabilities tightly around 72-75°F (52.5% combined), differentiating from cooler outcomes due to urban heat island effects at Miami International Airport observation site, persistent southerly flow from Atlantic sea surface temperatures above 78°F, and early-May climatological averages of 72-74°F with minimal cold air influence. Ensemble model spread (GFS, ECMWF) shows 1-3°F variance from timing of evening sea breeze and cloud cover; next forecast update this evening could shift odds further as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$5,493Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for Miami forecasts a low around 70°F overnight into May 2 under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds of 5-9 mph, promoting some radiative cooling while high dewpoints near 70°F cap significant drops. Trader sentiment clusters implied probabilities tightly around 72-75°F (52.5% combined), differentiating from cooler outcomes due to urban heat island effects at Miami International Airport observation site, persistent southerly flow from Atlantic sea surface temperatures above 78°F, and early-May climatological averages of 72-74°F with minimal cold air influence. Ensemble model spread (GFS, ECMWF) shows 1-3°F variance from timing of evening sea breeze and cloud cover; next forecast update this evening could shift odds further as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,493Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance for Miami forecasts a low around 70°F overnight into May 2 under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds of 5-9 mph, promoting some radiative cooling while high dewpoints near 70°F cap significant drops. Trader sentiment clusters implied probabilities tightly around 72-75°F (52.5% combined), differentiating from cooler outcomes due to urban heat island effects at Miami International Airport observation site, persistent southerly flow from Atlantic sea surface temperatures above 78°F, and early-May climatological averages of 72-74°F with minimal cold air influence. Ensemble model spread (GFS, ECMWF) shows 1-3°F variance from timing of evening sea breeze and cloud cover; next forecast update this evening could shift odds further as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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