National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport indicate a minimum temperature around 71-72°F early on May 1 under mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and a nocturnal inversion favoring radiative cooling, positioning 72-73°F as the trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability. This reflects stable model guidance amid surface ridging and subsidence aloft, with dewpoints near 69°F capping further drops while patchy fog inland and smoke from nearby wildfires introduce minor moderation risks. The 74-75°F outcome at 40% accounts for urban heat island effects or slight wind shifts in ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF runs. Historical early-May lows average 72°F, with resolution tied to official KMIA observations; watch for NWS updates as May 1 observations refine probabilities amid unseasonably warm conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 1 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 1 de mayo?
72-73°F 73%
74-75°F 18%
70-71°F 10%
68-69°F 1.9%
NUEVO
$10,715 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,715 Vol.
1 may 2026
67°F o menos
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
64%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F o más
1%
72-73°F 73%
74-75°F 18%
70-71°F 10%
68-69°F 1.9%
NUEVO
$10,715 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,715 Vol.
1 may 2026
67°F o menos
$710 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$586 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$468 Vol.
17%
72-73°F
$482 Vol.
64%
74-75°F
$391 Vol.
18%
76-77°F
$1,025 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$526 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,272 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$683 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$320 Vol.
1%
86°F o más
$4,251 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport indicate a minimum temperature around 71-72°F early on May 1 under mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and a nocturnal inversion favoring radiative cooling, positioning 72-73°F as the trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability. This reflects stable model guidance amid surface ridging and subsidence aloft, with dewpoints near 69°F capping further drops while patchy fog inland and smoke from nearby wildfires introduce minor moderation risks. The 74-75°F outcome at 40% accounts for urban heat island effects or slight wind shifts in ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF runs. Historical early-May lows average 72°F, with resolution tied to official KMIA observations; watch for NWS updates as May 1 observations refine probabilities amid unseasonably warm conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$10,715Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport indicate a minimum temperature around 71-72°F early on May 1 under mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and a nocturnal inversion favoring radiative cooling, positioning 72-73°F as the trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability. This reflects stable model guidance amid surface ridging and subsidence aloft, with dewpoints near 69°F capping further drops while patchy fog inland and smoke from nearby wildfires introduce minor moderation risks. The 74-75°F outcome at 40% accounts for urban heat island effects or slight wind shifts in ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF runs. Historical early-May lows average 72°F, with resolution tied to official KMIA observations; watch for NWS updates as May 1 observations refine probabilities amid unseasonably warm conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$10,715Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport indicate a minimum temperature around 71-72°F early on May 1 under mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and a nocturnal inversion favoring radiative cooling, positioning 72-73°F as the trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability. This reflects stable model guidance amid surface ridging and subsidence aloft, with dewpoints near 69°F capping further drops while patchy fog inland and smoke from nearby wildfires introduce minor moderation risks. The 74-75°F outcome at 40% accounts for urban heat island effects or slight wind shifts in ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF runs. Historical early-May lows average 72°F, with resolution tied to official KMIA observations; watch for NWS updates as May 1 observations refine probabilities amid unseasonably warm conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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