Environment Canada's latest forecasts for Toronto on May 2 indicate daytime highs of 9–10°C under partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, reflecting a lingering late-April cold snap marked by a frost advisory issued yesterday for the Greater Toronto Area. Trader consensus clusters around these levels—implied probabilities highest for 9°C (31.5%), 10°C (25%), and 8°C (19%)—driven by GFS and ECMWF ensemble spreads of 2–3°C, stemming from uncertainties in cloud evolution, light precipitation timing, and solar insolation amid an upper-level trough steering cool air masses southward. Key differentiators include model disagreements on afternoon clearing, which could cap highs at 8°C or boost to 10°C; watch overnight model updates and Pearson Airport observations for resolution shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Toronto on May 2?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 2?
9°C 35%
8°C 25%
10°C 22%
7°C 10%
NUEVO
$10,233 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,233 Vol.
2 may 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
2%
7°C
10%
8°C
25%
9°C
35%
10°C
22%
11°C
8%
12°C
3%
13°C
1%
14°C or higher
<1%
9°C 35%
8°C 25%
10°C 22%
7°C 10%
NUEVO
$10,233 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,233 Vol.
2 may 2026
4°C or below
$2,087 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$1,874 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,028 Vol.
2%
7°C
$882 Vol.
10%
8°C
$599 Vol.
25%
9°C
$510 Vol.
35%
10°C
$424 Vol.
22%
11°C
$426 Vol.
8%
12°C
$601 Vol.
3%
13°C
$844 Vol.
1%
14°C or higher
$959 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecasts for Toronto on May 2 indicate daytime highs of 9–10°C under partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, reflecting a lingering late-April cold snap marked by a frost advisory issued yesterday for the Greater Toronto Area. Trader consensus clusters around these levels—implied probabilities highest for 9°C (31.5%), 10°C (25%), and 8°C (19%)—driven by GFS and ECMWF ensemble spreads of 2–3°C, stemming from uncertainties in cloud evolution, light precipitation timing, and solar insolation amid an upper-level trough steering cool air masses southward. Key differentiators include model disagreements on afternoon clearing, which could cap highs at 8°C or boost to 10°C; watch overnight model updates and Pearson Airport observations for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$10,233Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecasts for Toronto on May 2 indicate daytime highs of 9–10°C under partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, reflecting a lingering late-April cold snap marked by a frost advisory issued yesterday for the Greater Toronto Area. Trader consensus clusters around these levels—implied probabilities highest for 9°C (31.5%), 10°C (25%), and 8°C (19%)—driven by GFS and ECMWF ensemble spreads of 2–3°C, stemming from uncertainties in cloud evolution, light precipitation timing, and solar insolation amid an upper-level trough steering cool air masses southward. Key differentiators include model disagreements on afternoon clearing, which could cap highs at 8°C or boost to 10°C; watch overnight model updates and Pearson Airport observations for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$10,233Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada's latest forecasts for Toronto on May 2 indicate daytime highs of 9–10°C under partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, reflecting a lingering late-April cold snap marked by a frost advisory issued yesterday for the Greater Toronto Area. Trader consensus clusters around these levels—implied probabilities highest for 9°C (31.5%), 10°C (25%), and 8°C (19%)—driven by GFS and ECMWF ensemble spreads of 2–3°C, stemming from uncertainties in cloud evolution, light precipitation timing, and solar insolation amid an upper-level trough steering cool air masses southward. Key differentiators include model disagreements on afternoon clearing, which could cap highs at 8°C or boost to 10°C; watch overnight model updates and Pearson Airport observations for resolution shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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