Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecast ensembles, alongside ECMWF and GFS model means, place Seoul's May 2 highest temperature in a tight 18–20°C cluster, fueling trader consensus with 19°C (27%) and 18°C (26%) leading amid high short-range uncertainty. Recent light rain and persistent cloud cover over the past 24–48 hours have cooled the region following milder early-week conditions, capping diurnal heating; partial afternoon clearing could boost solar insolation toward 20°C (21%), while thicker overcast favors 18°C, with urban heat island effects and light southerly winds adding variability against early May historical averages near 19°C. Key KMA intraday observational updates will sharpen resolution based on Incheon International Airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on May 2?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 2?
19°C 28%
18°C 25%
20°C 21.0%
17°C 15%
$39,827 Vol.
$39,827 Vol.
11°C o menos
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
15%
18°C
25%
19°C
28%
20°C
21%
21°C or higher
11%
19°C 28%
18°C 25%
20°C 21.0%
17°C 15%
$39,827 Vol.
$39,827 Vol.
11°C o menos
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
15%
18°C
25%
19°C
28%
20°C
21%
21°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecast ensembles, alongside ECMWF and GFS model means, place Seoul's May 2 highest temperature in a tight 18–20°C cluster, fueling trader consensus with 19°C (27%) and 18°C (26%) leading amid high short-range uncertainty. Recent light rain and persistent cloud cover over the past 24–48 hours have cooled the region following milder early-week conditions, capping diurnal heating; partial afternoon clearing could boost solar insolation toward 20°C (21%), while thicker overcast favors 18°C, with urban heat island effects and light southerly winds adding variability against early May historical averages near 19°C. Key KMA intraday observational updates will sharpen resolution based on Incheon International Airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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