Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 18-20°C for Seoul's highest temperature on May 2, mirroring Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts projecting a daytime high near 20-23°C under mostly cloudy skies with 20% precipitation odds. This positioning stems from early-May climatological norms—30-year averages of 19-21°C amid spring's transitional patterns—tempered by recent regional trends of highs in the upper teens over the past week due to variable high-pressure ridges and cool northeasterly winds. Differentiating factors include cloud cover modulating solar heating, southerly flow strength influencing warm air advection, and model ensemble spreads of 2-3°C across GFS/ECMWF runs; a stronger ridge could push toward 21°C+, while increased overcast favors 17-18°C. Watch KMA updates at 11 AM and 5 PM for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on May 2?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 2?
19°C 27%
18°C 24%
20°C 21.1%
17°C 17%
NUEVO
$44,271 Vol.
NUEVO
$44,271 Vol.
2 may 2026
11°C o menos
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
17%
18°C
24%
19°C
27%
20°C
21%
21°C or higher
11%
19°C 27%
18°C 24%
20°C 21.1%
17°C 17%
NUEVO
$44,271 Vol.
NUEVO
$44,271 Vol.
2 may 2026
11°C o menos
$4,524 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,072 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,868 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,711 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$6,896 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$7,883 Vol.
2%
17°C
$2,659 Vol.
17%
18°C
$2,292 Vol.
24%
19°C
$3,020 Vol.
27%
20°C
$3,262 Vol.
21%
21°C or higher
$7,205 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 18-20°C for Seoul's highest temperature on May 2, mirroring Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts projecting a daytime high near 20-23°C under mostly cloudy skies with 20% precipitation odds. This positioning stems from early-May climatological norms—30-year averages of 19-21°C amid spring's transitional patterns—tempered by recent regional trends of highs in the upper teens over the past week due to variable high-pressure ridges and cool northeasterly winds. Differentiating factors include cloud cover modulating solar heating, southerly flow strength influencing warm air advection, and model ensemble spreads of 2-3°C across GFS/ECMWF runs; a stronger ridge could push toward 21°C+, while increased overcast favors 17-18°C. Watch KMA updates at 11 AM and 5 PM for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$44,271Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 18-20°C for Seoul's highest temperature on May 2, mirroring Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts projecting a daytime high near 20-23°C under mostly cloudy skies with 20% precipitation odds. This positioning stems from early-May climatological norms—30-year averages of 19-21°C amid spring's transitional patterns—tempered by recent regional trends of highs in the upper teens over the past week due to variable high-pressure ridges and cool northeasterly winds. Differentiating factors include cloud cover modulating solar heating, southerly flow strength influencing warm air advection, and model ensemble spreads of 2-3°C across GFS/ECMWF runs; a stronger ridge could push toward 21°C+, while increased overcast favors 17-18°C. Watch KMA updates at 11 AM and 5 PM for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$44,271Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 18-20°C for Seoul's highest temperature on May 2, mirroring Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts projecting a daytime high near 20-23°C under mostly cloudy skies with 20% precipitation odds. This positioning stems from early-May climatological norms—30-year averages of 19-21°C amid spring's transitional patterns—tempered by recent regional trends of highs in the upper teens over the past week due to variable high-pressure ridges and cool northeasterly winds. Differentiating factors include cloud cover modulating solar heating, southerly flow strength influencing warm air advection, and model ensemble spreads of 2-3°C across GFS/ECMWF runs; a stronger ridge could push toward 21°C+, while increased overcast favors 17-18°C. Watch KMA updates at 11 AM and 5 PM for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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