Latest National Weather Service guidance for San Francisco on May 2 shows partly sunny conditions with highs clustering in the low to mid-60s°F, positioning 60-61°F (46%) and 62-63°F (30.5%) as leading market-implied outcomes amid persistent marine layer stratus suppressing diurnal heating. Onshore winds of 5-14 mph advect cool Pacific air, a hallmark of "May Gray" patterns that have kept recent highs below the early May climatological average of 64°F. Overnight model runs confirm limited clearing potential, with stubborn low clouds inland penetration noted in yesterday's Area Forecast Discussion. New observational data from SFO (likely resolution site) and afternoon updates could shift odds, as small changes in stratus burn-off timing introduce uncertainty in this tight forecast spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 2?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 2?
60-61°F 45%
62-63°F 29%
58-59°F 12%
64-65°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
12%
60-61°F
45%
62-63°F
29%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
3%
68°F or higher
1%
60-61°F 45%
62-63°F 29%
58-59°F 12%
64-65°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
49°F or below
$1,101 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$783 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$1,213 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$1,145 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$428 Vol.
4%
58-59°F
$414 Vol.
12%
60-61°F
$1,049 Vol.
45%
62-63°F
$672 Vol.
29%
64-65°F
$320 Vol.
7%
66-67°F
$480 Vol.
3%
68°F or higher
$480 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for San Francisco on May 2 shows partly sunny conditions with highs clustering in the low to mid-60s°F, positioning 60-61°F (46%) and 62-63°F (30.5%) as leading market-implied outcomes amid persistent marine layer stratus suppressing diurnal heating. Onshore winds of 5-14 mph advect cool Pacific air, a hallmark of "May Gray" patterns that have kept recent highs below the early May climatological average of 64°F. Overnight model runs confirm limited clearing potential, with stubborn low clouds inland penetration noted in yesterday's Area Forecast Discussion. New observational data from SFO (likely resolution site) and afternoon updates could shift odds, as small changes in stratus burn-off timing introduce uncertainty in this tight forecast spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$7,625Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for San Francisco on May 2 shows partly sunny conditions with highs clustering in the low to mid-60s°F, positioning 60-61°F (46%) and 62-63°F (30.5%) as leading market-implied outcomes amid persistent marine layer stratus suppressing diurnal heating. Onshore winds of 5-14 mph advect cool Pacific air, a hallmark of "May Gray" patterns that have kept recent highs below the early May climatological average of 64°F. Overnight model runs confirm limited clearing potential, with stubborn low clouds inland penetration noted in yesterday's Area Forecast Discussion. New observational data from SFO (likely resolution site) and afternoon updates could shift odds, as small changes in stratus burn-off timing introduce uncertainty in this tight forecast spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,625Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance for San Francisco on May 2 shows partly sunny conditions with highs clustering in the low to mid-60s°F, positioning 60-61°F (46%) and 62-63°F (30.5%) as leading market-implied outcomes amid persistent marine layer stratus suppressing diurnal heating. Onshore winds of 5-14 mph advect cool Pacific air, a hallmark of "May Gray" patterns that have kept recent highs below the early May climatological average of 64°F. Overnight model runs confirm limited clearing potential, with stubborn low clouds inland penetration noted in yesterday's Area Forecast Discussion. New observational data from SFO (likely resolution site) and afternoon updates could shift odds, as small changes in stratus burn-off timing introduce uncertainty in this tight forecast spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes