Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28–30°C outcomes for Qingdao's May 1 high temperature, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty amid model spread in peak afternoon heating. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensembles indicate highs clustering near 29°C under a persistent subtropical ridge promoting subsidence warming and light SSW winds (10–13 mph) advecting moist air from southern China while limiting Yellow Sea sea-breeze moderation. Updated runs over the past 24 hours trimmed cloud cover risks, boosting solar insolation potential after April 30's hazy highs near 13–19°C. Coastal climatology caps typical early-May peaks at 20°C, but this warm anomaly elevates implied odds; watch today's observations and evening CMA bulletin for final tweaks before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 1?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 1?
29°C 32%
30°C 27%
28°C 21%
27°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
11%
28°C
21%
29°C
26%
30°C
27%
31°C
8%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 32%
30°C 27%
28°C 21%
27°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
23°C or below
$1,135 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$768 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$313 Vol.
2%
26°C
$300 Vol.
6%
27°C
$1,299 Vol.
11%
28°C
$205 Vol.
21%
29°C
$53 Vol.
26%
30°C
$11 Vol.
27%
31°C
$87 Vol.
8%
32°C
$118 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$128 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28–30°C outcomes for Qingdao's May 1 high temperature, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty amid model spread in peak afternoon heating. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensembles indicate highs clustering near 29°C under a persistent subtropical ridge promoting subsidence warming and light SSW winds (10–13 mph) advecting moist air from southern China while limiting Yellow Sea sea-breeze moderation. Updated runs over the past 24 hours trimmed cloud cover risks, boosting solar insolation potential after April 30's hazy highs near 13–19°C. Coastal climatology caps typical early-May peaks at 20°C, but this warm anomaly elevates implied odds; watch today's observations and evening CMA bulletin for final tweaks before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$4,377Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28–30°C outcomes for Qingdao's May 1 high temperature, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty amid model spread in peak afternoon heating. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensembles indicate highs clustering near 29°C under a persistent subtropical ridge promoting subsidence warming and light SSW winds (10–13 mph) advecting moist air from southern China while limiting Yellow Sea sea-breeze moderation. Updated runs over the past 24 hours trimmed cloud cover risks, boosting solar insolation potential after April 30's hazy highs near 13–19°C. Coastal climatology caps typical early-May peaks at 20°C, but this warm anomaly elevates implied odds; watch today's observations and evening CMA bulletin for final tweaks before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,377Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28–30°C outcomes for Qingdao's May 1 high temperature, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty amid model spread in peak afternoon heating. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensembles indicate highs clustering near 29°C under a persistent subtropical ridge promoting subsidence warming and light SSW winds (10–13 mph) advecting moist air from southern China while limiting Yellow Sea sea-breeze moderation. Updated runs over the past 24 hours trimmed cloud cover risks, boosting solar insolation potential after April 30's hazy highs near 13–19°C. Coastal climatology caps typical early-May peaks at 20°C, but this warm anomaly elevates implied odds; watch today's observations and evening CMA bulletin for final tweaks before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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