Latest Météo-France forecasts point to a high of 24°C in Paris on May 2 under mostly sunny skies, driving trader consensus toward 24–26°C outcomes, with 25°C leading at 39% implied probability amid close competition from 24°C (33%) and 26°C (23.5%). This reflects ensemble spread across ECMWF and GFS models, where slight variations in afternoon cloud cover and light shower risks (up to 70% chance per recent bulletins) could cap peak heating at 24°C or permit 25–26°C if clearer. A high-pressure ridge over western Europe has sustained above-normal May temperatures (historical average ~18–19°C high), fueled by southerly winds and continental air advection, while urban heat island effects at the official Paris-Montsouris station add upside potential. New model runs overnight and May 1 observations will refine resolution odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on May 2?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 2?
25°C 40%
24°C 34%
26°C 22%
23°C 3.8%
NUEVO
$22,780 Vol.
NUEVO
$22,780 Vol.
2 may 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
34%
25°C
40%
26°C
22%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 40%
24°C 34%
26°C 22%
23°C 3.8%
NUEVO
$22,780 Vol.
NUEVO
$22,780 Vol.
2 may 2026
18°C or below
$1,608 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$747 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,939 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,322 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,491 Vol.
1%
23°C
$2,390 Vol.
4%
24°C
$1,971 Vol.
34%
25°C
$2,535 Vol.
40%
26°C
$1,670 Vol.
22%
27°C
$2,547 Vol.
3%
28°C or higher
$2,824 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts point to a high of 24°C in Paris on May 2 under mostly sunny skies, driving trader consensus toward 24–26°C outcomes, with 25°C leading at 39% implied probability amid close competition from 24°C (33%) and 26°C (23.5%). This reflects ensemble spread across ECMWF and GFS models, where slight variations in afternoon cloud cover and light shower risks (up to 70% chance per recent bulletins) could cap peak heating at 24°C or permit 25–26°C if clearer. A high-pressure ridge over western Europe has sustained above-normal May temperatures (historical average ~18–19°C high), fueled by southerly winds and continental air advection, while urban heat island effects at the official Paris-Montsouris station add upside potential. New model runs overnight and May 1 observations will refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$22,780Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts point to a high of 24°C in Paris on May 2 under mostly sunny skies, driving trader consensus toward 24–26°C outcomes, with 25°C leading at 39% implied probability amid close competition from 24°C (33%) and 26°C (23.5%). This reflects ensemble spread across ECMWF and GFS models, where slight variations in afternoon cloud cover and light shower risks (up to 70% chance per recent bulletins) could cap peak heating at 24°C or permit 25–26°C if clearer. A high-pressure ridge over western Europe has sustained above-normal May temperatures (historical average ~18–19°C high), fueled by southerly winds and continental air advection, while urban heat island effects at the official Paris-Montsouris station add upside potential. New model runs overnight and May 1 observations will refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$22,780Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France forecasts point to a high of 24°C in Paris on May 2 under mostly sunny skies, driving trader consensus toward 24–26°C outcomes, with 25°C leading at 39% implied probability amid close competition from 24°C (33%) and 26°C (23.5%). This reflects ensemble spread across ECMWF and GFS models, where slight variations in afternoon cloud cover and light shower risks (up to 70% chance per recent bulletins) could cap peak heating at 24°C or permit 25–26°C if clearer. A high-pressure ridge over western Europe has sustained above-normal May temperatures (historical average ~18–19°C high), fueled by southerly winds and continental air advection, while urban heat island effects at the official Paris-Montsouris station add upside potential. New model runs overnight and May 1 observations will refine resolution odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes