Latest Météo-France forecasts and ECMWF/GFS model ensembles project highs near 25°C at Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station on May 2, driving trader consensus toward the closely contested 24–26°C band amid inherent short-range uncertainty. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences—GFS runs trending 1–2°C warmer due to anticipated clearer skies and enhanced boundary-layer heating, versus ECMWF's cooler bias from potential afternoon cloud incursions and lighter southerly winds—against a backdrop of mild early-May conditions exceeding historical norms of 19°C. No major developments in the past 48 hours, but ongoing pleasant patterns persist; watch hourly station observations through afternoon peak for resolution-defining data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on May 2?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 2?
25°C 45%
24°C 27%
26°C 22%
23°C 3.5%
NUEVO
$30,680 Vol.
NUEVO
$30,680 Vol.
2 may 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
27%
25°C
45%
26°C
22%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 45%
24°C 27%
26°C 22%
23°C 3.5%
NUEVO
$30,680 Vol.
NUEVO
$30,680 Vol.
2 may 2026
18°C or below
$3,544 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$747 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,254 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,706 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,939 Vol.
1%
23°C
$2,980 Vol.
3%
24°C
$2,846 Vol.
27%
25°C
$3,333 Vol.
45%
26°C
$2,708 Vol.
22%
27°C
$3,323 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$3,308 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts and ECMWF/GFS model ensembles project highs near 25°C at Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station on May 2, driving trader consensus toward the closely contested 24–26°C band amid inherent short-range uncertainty. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences—GFS runs trending 1–2°C warmer due to anticipated clearer skies and enhanced boundary-layer heating, versus ECMWF's cooler bias from potential afternoon cloud incursions and lighter southerly winds—against a backdrop of mild early-May conditions exceeding historical norms of 19°C. No major developments in the past 48 hours, but ongoing pleasant patterns persist; watch hourly station observations through afternoon peak for resolution-defining data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$30,680Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts and ECMWF/GFS model ensembles project highs near 25°C at Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station on May 2, driving trader consensus toward the closely contested 24–26°C band amid inherent short-range uncertainty. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences—GFS runs trending 1–2°C warmer due to anticipated clearer skies and enhanced boundary-layer heating, versus ECMWF's cooler bias from potential afternoon cloud incursions and lighter southerly winds—against a backdrop of mild early-May conditions exceeding historical norms of 19°C. No major developments in the past 48 hours, but ongoing pleasant patterns persist; watch hourly station observations through afternoon peak for resolution-defining data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$30,680Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France forecasts and ECMWF/GFS model ensembles project highs near 25°C at Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station on May 2, driving trader consensus toward the closely contested 24–26°C band amid inherent short-range uncertainty. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences—GFS runs trending 1–2°C warmer due to anticipated clearer skies and enhanced boundary-layer heating, versus ECMWF's cooler bias from potential afternoon cloud incursions and lighter southerly winds—against a backdrop of mild early-May conditions exceeding historical norms of 19°C. No major developments in the past 48 hours, but ongoing pleasant patterns persist; watch hourly station observations through afternoon peak for resolution-defining data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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