Latest Météo-France short-range forecasts and ECMWF ensemble model runs, updated late April 30, position Paris's May 1 high temperature around 24–26°C under a high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and solar heating in a mild spring air mass, well above the seasonal average of ~18°C amid lingering positive temperature anomalies from a fading La Niña influence. This drives trader consensus with 55.5% implied probability for 25°C, flanked by 24°C (20%) and 26°C (22%), reflecting minor spread from potential afternoon thunderstorms or Île-de-France showers that could introduce cloud cover and cap peaks. Hourly observations from official stations like Paris-Montsouris will soon resolve the market, with light easterly winds of 10–15 km/h aiding daytime warming.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on May 1?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 1?
25°C 57%
26°C 21%
24°C 20%
27°C 3.1%
$64,257 Vol.
$64,257 Vol.
1 may 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
20%
25°C
57%
26°C
21%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 57%
26°C 21%
24°C 20%
27°C 3.1%
$64,257 Vol.
$64,257 Vol.
1 may 2026
20°C or below
$3,255 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,106 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5,037 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$11,536 Vol.
2%
24°C
$9,014 Vol.
20%
25°C
$6,937 Vol.
57%
26°C
$7,695 Vol.
21%
27°C
$6,660 Vol.
3%
28°C
$6,540 Vol.
1%
29°C
$3,143 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,977 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France short-range forecasts and ECMWF ensemble model runs, updated late April 30, position Paris's May 1 high temperature around 24–26°C under a high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and solar heating in a mild spring air mass, well above the seasonal average of ~18°C amid lingering positive temperature anomalies from a fading La Niña influence. This drives trader consensus with 55.5% implied probability for 25°C, flanked by 24°C (20%) and 26°C (22%), reflecting minor spread from potential afternoon thunderstorms or Île-de-France showers that could introduce cloud cover and cap peaks. Hourly observations from official stations like Paris-Montsouris will soon resolve the market, with light easterly winds of 10–15 km/h aiding daytime warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$64,257Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France short-range forecasts and ECMWF ensemble model runs, updated late April 30, position Paris's May 1 high temperature around 24–26°C under a high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and solar heating in a mild spring air mass, well above the seasonal average of ~18°C amid lingering positive temperature anomalies from a fading La Niña influence. This drives trader consensus with 55.5% implied probability for 25°C, flanked by 24°C (20%) and 26°C (22%), reflecting minor spread from potential afternoon thunderstorms or Île-de-France showers that could introduce cloud cover and cap peaks. Hourly observations from official stations like Paris-Montsouris will soon resolve the market, with light easterly winds of 10–15 km/h aiding daytime warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$64,257Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France short-range forecasts and ECMWF ensemble model runs, updated late April 30, position Paris's May 1 high temperature around 24–26°C under a high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and solar heating in a mild spring air mass, well above the seasonal average of ~18°C amid lingering positive temperature anomalies from a fading La Niña influence. This drives trader consensus with 55.5% implied probability for 25°C, flanked by 24°C (20%) and 26°C (22%), reflecting minor spread from potential afternoon thunderstorms or Île-de-France showers that could introduce cloud cover and cap peaks. Hourly observations from official stations like Paris-Montsouris will soon resolve the market, with light easterly winds of 10–15 km/h aiding daytime warming.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes