Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 30°C (33.5% implied probability) and 31°C (32.5%) for the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, Panama, on May 2, reflecting uncertainty in the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles, which forecast peak surface temperatures of 30–31°C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and increasing convective activity. May marks the onset of Panama's rainy season, with historical airport highs averaging 31°C but modulated by sea breeze fronts, high humidity near 80%, and potential afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peaks at 30°C if developing early or push to 31°C under partly sunny skies. Breezy WNW winds at 5–10 mph may enhance mixing, while overnight lows around 24–25°C provide ample recovery potential; traders await 12Z model updates for refined convective timing and boundary layer heat.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Panama City on May 2?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 2?
30°C 34%
31°C 33%
29°C 18%
32°C or higher 13.2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
18%
30°C
34%
31°C
33%
32°C or higher
13%
30°C 34%
31°C 33%
29°C 18%
32°C or higher 13.2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
22°C or below
$1,176 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,034 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,222 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$522 Vol.
1%
26°C
$216 Vol.
1%
27°C
$626 Vol.
1%
28°C
$846 Vol.
3%
29°C
$263 Vol.
18%
30°C
$87 Vol.
34%
31°C
$346 Vol.
33%
32°C or higher
$416 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 30°C (33.5% implied probability) and 31°C (32.5%) for the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, Panama, on May 2, reflecting uncertainty in the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles, which forecast peak surface temperatures of 30–31°C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and increasing convective activity. May marks the onset of Panama's rainy season, with historical airport highs averaging 31°C but modulated by sea breeze fronts, high humidity near 80%, and potential afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peaks at 30°C if developing early or push to 31°C under partly sunny skies. Breezy WNW winds at 5–10 mph may enhance mixing, while overnight lows around 24–25°C provide ample recovery potential; traders await 12Z model updates for refined convective timing and boundary layer heat.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
Volumen
$6,754Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:53 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 30°C (33.5% implied probability) and 31°C (32.5%) for the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, Panama, on May 2, reflecting uncertainty in the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles, which forecast peak surface temperatures of 30–31°C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and increasing convective activity. May marks the onset of Panama's rainy season, with historical airport highs averaging 31°C but modulated by sea breeze fronts, high humidity near 80%, and potential afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peaks at 30°C if developing early or push to 31°C under partly sunny skies. Breezy WNW winds at 5–10 mph may enhance mixing, while overnight lows around 24–25°C provide ample recovery potential; traders await 12Z model updates for refined convective timing and boundary layer heat.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,754Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:53 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 30°C (33.5% implied probability) and 31°C (32.5%) for the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, Panama, on May 2, reflecting uncertainty in the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles, which forecast peak surface temperatures of 30–31°C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and increasing convective activity. May marks the onset of Panama's rainy season, with historical airport highs averaging 31°C but modulated by sea breeze fronts, high humidity near 80%, and potential afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peaks at 30°C if developing early or push to 31°C under partly sunny skies. Breezy WNW winds at 5–10 mph may enhance mixing, while overnight lows around 24–25°C provide ample recovery potential; traders await 12Z model updates for refined convective timing and boundary layer heat.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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