Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 31°C (38.5% implied probability) in Panama City, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF forecast model runs clustering projected peaks near 31–32°C at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG), with National Weather Service guidance aligning at around 88°F. Yesterday's observed high of 86°F, combined with a strong high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and mostly sunny skies, stable morning boundary layer temperatures rising rapidly from 72°F, and elevated Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperatures (77–79°F) enabling efficient daytime heating despite potential thunderstorms. Early May climatological averages sit at 82°F (28°C), but weak sea breeze development limits cooling, keeping 33°C+ at 11%. Hourly METAR observations and 12z model updates through afternoon peaks (2–5 PM local) will refine probabilities amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Panama City on May 1?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 1?
31°C 40%
32°C 28%
30°C 23%
33°C or higher 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
23%
31°C
40%
32°C
28%
33°C or higher
12%
31°C 40%
32°C 28%
30°C 23%
33°C or higher 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
26°C
$1,261 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,067 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,518 Vol.
1%
29°C
$712 Vol.
2%
30°C
$773 Vol.
23%
31°C
$225 Vol.
40%
32°C
$457 Vol.
28%
33°C or higher
$1,095 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 31°C (38.5% implied probability) in Panama City, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF forecast model runs clustering projected peaks near 31–32°C at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG), with National Weather Service guidance aligning at around 88°F. Yesterday's observed high of 86°F, combined with a strong high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and mostly sunny skies, stable morning boundary layer temperatures rising rapidly from 72°F, and elevated Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperatures (77–79°F) enabling efficient daytime heating despite potential thunderstorms. Early May climatological averages sit at 82°F (28°C), but weak sea breeze development limits cooling, keeping 33°C+ at 11%. Hourly METAR observations and 12z model updates through afternoon peaks (2–5 PM local) will refine probabilities amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volumen
$8,433Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 31°C (38.5% implied probability) in Panama City, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF forecast model runs clustering projected peaks near 31–32°C at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG), with National Weather Service guidance aligning at around 88°F. Yesterday's observed high of 86°F, combined with a strong high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and mostly sunny skies, stable morning boundary layer temperatures rising rapidly from 72°F, and elevated Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperatures (77–79°F) enabling efficient daytime heating despite potential thunderstorms. Early May climatological averages sit at 82°F (28°C), but weak sea breeze development limits cooling, keeping 33°C+ at 11%. Hourly METAR observations and 12z model updates through afternoon peaks (2–5 PM local) will refine probabilities amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,433Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 31°C (38.5% implied probability) in Panama City, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF forecast model runs clustering projected peaks near 31–32°C at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG), with National Weather Service guidance aligning at around 88°F. Yesterday's observed high of 86°F, combined with a strong high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and mostly sunny skies, stable morning boundary layer temperatures rising rapidly from 72°F, and elevated Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperatures (77–79°F) enabling efficient daytime heating despite potential thunderstorms. Early May climatological averages sit at 82°F (28°C), but weak sea breeze development limits cooling, keeping 33°C+ at 11%. Hourly METAR observations and 12z model updates through afternoon peaks (2–5 PM local) will refine probabilities amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes