Traders' near-unanimous consensus on 28°C or higher as Mexico City's highest temperature on May 1 reflects the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), projecting daytime highs of 31–33°C amid persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies during the dry season's peak warmth. International models from NOAA and ECMWF align, showing sustained solar heating at Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation, where May averages historically hover around 26–27°C but recent April heatwaves exceeded 35°C. This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves scant room for lower outcomes, though rare scenarios like sudden convective cloud cover or northerly winds introducing cooler air could challenge it before evening observations finalize at Benito Juárez International Airport. Updated SMN bulletins expected throughout the day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 1?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 1?
28°C or higher 99.8%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
100%
28°C or higher 99.8%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
18°C or below
$119 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,316 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,326 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,085 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$2,365 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders' near-unanimous consensus on 28°C or higher as Mexico City's highest temperature on May 1 reflects the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), projecting daytime highs of 31–33°C amid persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies during the dry season's peak warmth. International models from NOAA and ECMWF align, showing sustained solar heating at Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation, where May averages historically hover around 26–27°C but recent April heatwaves exceeded 35°C. This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves scant room for lower outcomes, though rare scenarios like sudden convective cloud cover or northerly winds introducing cooler air could challenge it before evening observations finalize at Benito Juárez International Airport. Updated SMN bulletins expected throughout the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$8,141Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders' near-unanimous consensus on 28°C or higher as Mexico City's highest temperature on May 1 reflects the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), projecting daytime highs of 31–33°C amid persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies during the dry season's peak warmth. International models from NOAA and ECMWF align, showing sustained solar heating at Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation, where May averages historically hover around 26–27°C but recent April heatwaves exceeded 35°C. This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves scant room for lower outcomes, though rare scenarios like sudden convective cloud cover or northerly winds introducing cooler air could challenge it before evening observations finalize at Benito Juárez International Airport. Updated SMN bulletins expected throughout the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,141Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' near-unanimous consensus on 28°C or higher as Mexico City's highest temperature on May 1 reflects the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), projecting daytime highs of 31–33°C amid persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies during the dry season's peak warmth. International models from NOAA and ECMWF align, showing sustained solar heating at Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation, where May averages historically hover around 26–27°C but recent April heatwaves exceeded 35°C. This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves scant room for lower outcomes, though rare scenarios like sudden convective cloud cover or northerly winds introducing cooler air could challenge it before evening observations finalize at Benito Juárez International Airport. Updated SMN bulletins expected throughout the day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes