Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-even split between 34°C or below (49.5%) and 35°C (37.5%) as the highest temperature in Lucknow on May 1, driven primarily by the India Meteorological Department's (IMD) latest local forecast of a maximum around 34°C under partly cloudy skies with few spells of rain or thundershowers. This follows a recent cooldown signal after April's heatwave peaked with 39.3°C observed on April 29 and gusty conditions noted on April 30 amid isolated thunderstorms in east Uttar Pradesh, suppressing daytime heating via cloud cover and precipitation. While May climatology averages near 40°C, short-term atmospheric instability favors moderation; updated IMD guidance expected today could refine model consensus before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 1?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 1?
34°C or below 50%
35°C 38%
36°C 19%
37°C 2.0%
$43,259 Vol.
$43,259 Vol.
34°C or below
50%
35°C
38%
36°C
19%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
34°C or below 50%
35°C 38%
36°C 19%
37°C 2.0%
$43,259 Vol.
$43,259 Vol.
34°C or below
50%
35°C
38%
36°C
19%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-even split between 34°C or below (49.5%) and 35°C (37.5%) as the highest temperature in Lucknow on May 1, driven primarily by the India Meteorological Department's (IMD) latest local forecast of a maximum around 34°C under partly cloudy skies with few spells of rain or thundershowers. This follows a recent cooldown signal after April's heatwave peaked with 39.3°C observed on April 29 and gusty conditions noted on April 30 amid isolated thunderstorms in east Uttar Pradesh, suppressing daytime heating via cloud cover and precipitation. While May climatology averages near 40°C, short-term atmospheric instability favors moderation; updated IMD guidance expected today could refine model consensus before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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